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Elections·Slovenia Election

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

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Elections·Slovenia Election

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

$103,001 Vol.

Mar 22, 2026
Polymarket

$103,001 Vol.

Polymarket
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Social Democrats (SD)

$7,636 Vol.

79%

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Democrats (D)

$15,181 Vol.

75%

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New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)

$2,174 Vol.

62%

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Freedom Movement (GS)

$19,418 Vol.

60%

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Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)

$700 Vol.

48%

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Resni.ca (Res)

$18,783 Vol.

27%

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Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)

$871 Vol.

40%

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Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

$13,163 Vol.

31%

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The Left (Levica)

$5,382 Vol.

27%

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Prerod (PVP)

$2,167 Vol.

13%

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Party of Generations (SG)

$760 Vol.

3%

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Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)

$9,834 Vol.

3%

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Our Country (ND)

$3,571 Vol.

1%

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Slovenian National Party (SNS)

$2,746 Vol.

1%

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Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)

$613 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Slovenia's National Assembly elections on March 22, 2026, produced a hung parliament, with Prime Minister Robert Golob's liberal Freedom Movement (GS) securing 29 of 90 seats, narrowly ahead of Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28 seats, amid fragmentation featuring center-right NSi-SLS-FOKUS (9 seats), Social Democrats (SD, 6), Democrats (DEM, 6), Resni.ca (5), and The Left-Vesna (5). No bloc reaches the 46-seat majority threshold under proportional representation, thrusting kingmaker parties into coalition negotiations. Golob launched exploratory talks March 27 for a broad "national unity" government excluding SDS, but faced rejections from NSi allies and red lines from DEM and Resni.ca against partnering with The Left. President Nataša Pirc Musar schedules the inaugural session for April 10, with prime minister-designate consultations to follow if no majority emerges by early May.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Volume
$103,001
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Slovenia's National Assembly elections on March 22, 2026, produced a hung parliament, with Prime Minister Robert Golob's liberal Freedom Movement (GS) securing 29 of 90 seats, narrowly ahead of Janez Janša's right-wing Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28 seats, amid fragmentation featuring center-right NSi-SLS-FOKUS (9 seats), Social Democrats (SD, 6), Democrats (DEM, 6), Resni.ca (5), and The Left-Vesna (5). No bloc reaches the 46-seat majority threshold under proportional representation, thrusting kingmaker parties into coalition negotiations. Golob launched exploratory talks March 27 for a broad "national unity" government excluding SDS, but faced rejections from NSi allies and red lines from DEM and Resni.ca against partnering with The Left. President Nataša Pirc Musar schedules the inaugural session for April 10, with prime minister-designate consultations to follow if no majority emerges by early May.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Volume
$103,001
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Social Democrats (SD)" at 79%, followed by "Democrats (D)" at 75%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" has generated $103K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" is "Social Democrats (SD)" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Democrats (D)" at 75%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.