Which countries will Trump reduce tariffs on before June?
$1,012,608 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
Taiwan
$25,448 Vol.
Yes
Taiwan
$25,448 Vol.
Yes
European Union
$164,385 Vol.
Yes
European Union
$164,385 Vol.
Yes
South Korea
$47,939 Vol.
Yes
South Korea
$47,939 Vol.
Yes
India
$34,476 Vol.
Yes
India
$34,476 Vol.
Yes
Indonesia
$12,561 Vol.
Yes
Indonesia
$12,561 Vol.
Yes
Switzerland
$6,314 Vol.
Yes
Switzerland
$6,314 Vol.
Yes
South Africa
$18,135 Vol.
Yes
South Africa
$18,135 Vol.
Yes
Pakistan
$19,440 Vol.
Yes
Pakistan
$19,440 Vol.
Yes
Bangladesh
$9,729 Vol.
Yes
Bangladesh
$9,729 Vol.
Yes
Vietnam
$243,684 Vol.
Yes
Vietnam
$243,684 Vol.
Yes
Japan
$32,245 Vol.
Yes
Japan
$32,245 Vol.
Yes
Cambodia
$82,746 Vol.
Yes
Cambodia
$82,746 Vol.
Yes
Laos
$183,527 Vol.
Yes
Laos
$183,527 Vol.
Yes
China
$131,980 Vol.
Yes
China
$131,980 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes any tariffs on imports from the listed country by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, item specific tariffs, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting imports from the listed country.
Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting the listed country will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific provinces provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, item specific tariffs, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting imports from the listed country.
Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting the listed country will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific provinces provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Created At: Apr 3, 2025, 9:04 PM
Volume
$1,012,608End Date
May 31, 2025Created At
Apr 3, 2025, 9:04 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$1,012,608 Vol.
Which countries will Trump reduce tariffs on before June?
Taiwan
$25,448 Vol.
Yes
European Union
$164,385 Vol.
Yes
South Korea
$47,939 Vol.
Yes
India
$34,476 Vol.
Yes
Indonesia
$12,561 Vol.
Yes
Switzerland
$6,314 Vol.
Yes
South Africa
$18,135 Vol.
Yes
Pakistan
$19,440 Vol.
Yes
Bangladesh
$9,729 Vol.
Yes
Vietnam
$243,684 Vol.
Yes
Japan
$32,245 Vol.
Yes
Cambodia
$82,746 Vol.
Yes
Laos
$183,527 Vol.
Yes
China
$131,980 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$1,012,608End Date
May 31, 2025Created At
Apr 3, 2025, 9:04 PMResolver
0x6A9D22261...


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