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Which countries will Trump reduce tariffs on before June?

$964,038 Vol.

May 31, 2025

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes any tariffs on imports from the listed country by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on imports from the listed country will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, item specific tariffs, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting imports from the listed country.

Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting the listed country will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific provinces provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution.

Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

Volume

$964,038

End Date

May 31, 2025

Comments (112)
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TrickShotCalls

TrickShotCalls

14h ago

Trump never backs down on tariffs. FREE MONEY

TheWolfOfPolymarket

TheWolfOfPolymar...

21h ago

2 months is a long time

“ As of April 10, 2025, there has been no official announcement from the U.S. government regarding a pause or suspension of the 29% tariff imposed on Pakistani goods. While President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on tariffs for many countries on April 9, 2025, this suspension did not extend to Pakistan. ”

phant0m

22h ago

This is BS. South Africa did not receive any specific relief. This market is manipulated

Roeman

Roeman

1d ago

None of these are yes according to the rules

MisterKrabs

@Roeman

I'm sorry for your loss.

Roeman

Roeman

1d ago

typeshut

1d ago

after this war declaration by trump , no china is quite underpriced imo

MyJealousLittleStepBrother

poor china, they should have just kept their mouth shut

MoonSama.

1d ago

@MyJealousLit...

nah, cuz other countries are too weak to stand the consequence

vanaik

1d ago

@MoonSama.

the US can't afford 104% tariffs on China.

phant0m

1d ago

Trump has specific issue with South Africa racism against the white population. Why would he make life easier for it? Would love to hear your thoughts

Dropper11

Dropper11

1d ago

@phant0m

meh. I personally think he will sign an EO pausing the reciprocal tariffs for 90 days and imposing a 10% global tariff instead, including South Africa, but we will see

phant0m

1d ago

@Dropper11

I think this won't apply to the rules of this market. This market is about country specific changes.

when is the EO coming? Trumputin so spontaneously changed his mind that his people need hours to get the paper ready? what a kindergarten

obi-wan-kenobi

obi-wan-kenobi

1d ago

@muellermeist...

do you mean krasnov?

Car

Car

1d ago

Rule cuckers can put their rule cuck right up their ass, because these are all resolving to Yes once the EO is out

Piffpaff

1d ago

@Car

Don’t listen to Car people, he is doing his usual scam.

obi-wan-kenobi

obi-wan-kenobi

23h ago

@Car

is mango-lassi also you account?

Caprica

2d ago

What Trump did: He paused increases in tariffs and set a 10 percent general tariff for most countries for 90 days. This was not country-specific. It is a broad policy affecting multiple countries equally. He did not remove or pause tariffs specifically targeting Vietnam, India, EU, etc. What he didn't do: He did not sign any executive action that reduces or removes tariffs only for a specific country listed in the market. He increased tariffs on China (to 125 percent), which clearly does not qualify for a "Yes." Interpretation: As of now, the market should resolve to "No" for all listed countries unless Trump takes country-specific action (for example, says "we are removing tariffs on Vietnam" alone) before May 31. The 90-day pause is a blanket action, not country-specific, and therefore does not meet the criteria. TLDR: Pausing tariffs? Yes. Targeting specific countries? No. Market currently resolves to "No" for all countries unless new, country-specific actions are taken before May 31.

NETIZENMAUS

NETIZENMAUS

2d ago

shit why did i buy china yes

MoonSama.

2d ago

@NETIZENMAUS

yep you bought it too expensively

How am I down %18 on a no vote when it drops? Someone explain that to me

UglyBob

2d ago

@0xc032181298...

Read the news?

obi-wan-kenobi

obi-wan-kenobi

2d ago

what does it need to resolve?

@obi-wan-keno...

The executive order hasn't been published yet. Probably in the next few hours

Jinmao

2d ago

"Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting the listed country will qualify"...I think this will be the sticking point, and 'no' is the default, so if voters get sticky about that technicality (they will,they always do...)

Zorroh

Zorroh

2d ago

Why is EU so low compared to the other

TCA

TCA

2d ago

market manipulation in the extreme lol, what a joke. Congress needs to take this toddlers stick away

jpeg340

2d ago

@TCA

the only joke whining about it rather than making money from it. your choice

Roeman

Roeman

2d ago

Check out the other market with reducing tariffs first, don’t make sense

GollumGekko

Resolve?

dotethguy

dotethguy

2d ago

A very funny thing could happen here, all the countries resolve to No (because general pause does not count), and only china resolves to yes because of some deal or something a few days later that lowers tariff from %125 to %50

TCA

TCA

2d ago

@dotethguy

sounds like something that would happen on this market lol. that kinda crap happens all the time some wording or technicality skews the results.

MisterKrabs

I like how this market is still not 100% (except China)

@MisterKrabs

Probably the end date is 31st May

MisterKrabs

@Flamescion

This resolves right away

We won right. It’s usa vs china now

Eridpnc

Eridpnc

2d ago

"Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting the EU will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific EU member states will not count toward this market's resolution."

Car

Car

2d ago

GG!

Intendant-Jean-Talon

is it over?

pantomime

2d ago

trump will do what is right

bulborb

bulborb

2d ago

Japan is getting reduced

gzacjz

3d ago

is reduced

guazi

3d ago

Not possible to sustain this for a long period of time without

0xE2d7Ab7C3Ce135...

3d ago

if 104 % are reduced to 54%, is it considered yes?

Car

Car

3d ago

Car

Car

3d ago

he will turn the 100% tariff back down to 54% this week based on some silly deal. just watch.

Bank.of.America

@Car

But is it officially at 100% right now?

TheNoobBeaver

TheNoobBeaver

2d ago

@Bank.of.Amer...

yes from today

TheWolfOfPolymarket

TheWolfOfPolymar...

3d ago

If the 100+% tariffs go into effect, it makes it much more likely this market will hit. 54% is already obscene, 100+% will straight up bankrupt many US businesses who assemble their products with parts from China, which is a huge number of them I assume. Not possible to sustain this for a long period of time without devastating consequences for everyone involved

Joe.Biden

Joe.Biden

4d ago

Vote me back in! Peasnts

ShiroHikari

@Joe.Biden

is it really you? the real biden???

Joe.Biden

Joe.Biden

4d ago

Trump has no clue what he’s doing

Tankajahari01

what about Israel im sure he will reduce tariffs on them

Scaggypoos

Why are Taiwan and China different markets?

WalrusLagann

@Scaggypoos

different countures :P

What if he removes the additional 50% tariff again? the rules are bad. so far the reciprocal tariff are also not enacted, so does it count if he takes his threat back?

TheNoobBeaver

TheNoobBeaver

4d ago

yoo you guys really hate the poor pakistan

Car

Car

4d ago

Im simply the best

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