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What will Trump say during his Venezuela press conference today?

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What will Trump say during his Venezuela press conference today?

$825,284 Vol.

Jan 3, 2026
Polymarket

$825,284 Vol.

Polymarket

Communist / Communism 3+ times

$4,398 Vol.

No

Cilia / Flores

$11,943 Vol.

Yes

Fentanyl

$45,376 Vol.

No

CIA / FBI

$28,415 Vol.

No

Cuba

$4,427 Vol.

Yes

Russia

$9,981 Vol.

Yes

F-35 / Drone / Helicopter 5+ times

$11,368 Vol.

No

Dictator 3+ times

$159,430 Vol.

Yes

Hell

$6,457 Vol.

Yes

Oil

$75,478 Vol.

Yes

Iran

$20,729 Vol.

Yes

China

$26,884 Vol.

Yes

Border 5+ times

$8,217 Vol.

No

Maria / Corina / Machado

$134,788 Vol.

No

Minnesota

$6,902 Vol.

No

Crypto / Bitcoin

$147,422 Vol.

No

Venezuela 10+ times

$45,489 Vol.

Yes

Maduro 10+ times

$46,840 Vol.

Yes

Cocaine 5+ times

$27,293 Vol.

No

Tariff

$3,447 Vol.

Yes

Following reports of U.S. strikes on Venezuela, including the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, Donald Trump announced a news conference scheduled for January 3, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the conference on January 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event announced to be held to "discuss the U.S. attack on Venezuela and capture of Nicolás Maduro" (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Following reports of U.S. strikes on Venezuela, including the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, Donald Trump announced a news conference scheduled for January 3, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the conference on January 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the scheduled event announced to be held to "discuss the U.S. attack on Venezuela and capture of Nicolás Maduro" (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$825,284
End Date
Jan 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 8:39 AM ET
Following reports of U.S. strikes on Venezuela, including the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, Donald Trump announced a news conference scheduled for January 3, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the conference on January 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event announced to be held to "discuss the U.S. attack on Venezuela and capture of Nicolás Maduro" (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Following reports of U.S. strikes on Venezuela, including the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, Donald Trump announced a news conference scheduled for January 3, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the conference on January 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event announced to be held to "discuss the U.S. attack on Venezuela and capture of Nicolás Maduro" (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Following reports of U.S. strikes on Venezuela, including the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, Donald Trump announced a news conference scheduled for January 3, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the conference on January 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the scheduled event announced to be held to "discuss the U.S. attack on Venezuela and capture of Nicolás Maduro" (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$825,284
End Date
Jan 3, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 3, 2026, 8:39 AM ET
Following reports of U.S. strikes on Venezuela, including the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, Donald Trump announced a news conference scheduled for January 3, 2026, at 11:00 a.m. ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the conference on January 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the scheduled event announced to be held to "discuss the U.S. attack on Venezuela and capture of Nicolás Maduro" (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during his Venezuela press conference today?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cilia / Flores" at 100%, followed by "Cuba" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during his Venezuela press conference today?" has generated $825.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during his Venezuela press conference today?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during his Venezuela press conference today?" is "Cilia / Flores" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cuba" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during his Venezuela press conference today?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.