What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?

Name: What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?
Start: 2025-05-15T12:00:00.000Z
End: 2025-05-15T12:00:00.000Z

$50,596 Vol.

May 15, 2025

Inflation 40+ times
$10,207 Vol.
No

Inflation 50+ times
$2,714 Vol.
No

Tariff 15+ times
$3,041 Vol.
No

Unemployment 15+ times
$1,034 Vol.
No

COVID 3+
$1,681 Vol.
No

Downbeat
$549 Vol.
No

Slowdown
$331 Vol.
No

Recession
$11,400 Vol.
Yes

Immigration
$560 Vol.
No

Median
$541 Vol.
No

Forward Guidance
$4,202 Vol.
No

Energy
$998 Vol.
No

Beige Book
$305 Vol.
No

Depression
$4,907 Vol.
Yes

Climate
$82 Vol.
No

China
$4,008 Vol.
No

QE / Quantitative Easing
$438 Vol.
No

Crypto / Bitcoin
$2,738 Vol.
No

AI / Artificial Intelligence
$861 Vol.
No

Rules

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give a Framework Review speech on May 15, 2025, at 8:40 AM ET. This market pertains to his scheduled speech as well any appended Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during his scheduled Framework Review speech. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Powell's Framework Review speech scheduled for May 15, 2025, 8:40 AM ET (https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If no such speech happens by May 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the speech.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Economy·Mentions

What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?

$50,596 Vol.

Inflation 40+ times

$10,207 Vol.

Inflation 50+ times

$2,714 Vol.

Tariff 15+ times

$3,041 Vol.

Unemployment 15+ times

$1,034 Vol.

COVID 3+

$1,681 Vol.

Downbeat

$549 Vol.

Slowdown

$331 Vol.

Recession

$11,400 Vol.

Yes

Immigration

$560 Vol.

Median

$541 Vol.

Forward Guidance

$4,202 Vol.

Energy

$998 Vol.

Beige Book

$305 Vol.

Depression

$4,907 Vol.

Yes

Climate

$82 Vol.

China

$4,008 Vol.

QE / Quantitative Easing

$438 Vol.

Crypto / Bitcoin

$2,738 Vol.

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$861 Vol.

About

Volume

$50,596

End Date

May 15, 2025

Created At

May 12, 2025, 3:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Beware of external links.

What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?

Inflation 40+ times
$10,207 Vol.
No

Inflation 50+ times
$2,714 Vol.
No

Tariff 15+ times
$3,041 Vol.
No

Unemployment 15+ times
$1,034 Vol.
No

COVID 3+
$1,681 Vol.
No

Downbeat
$549 Vol.
No

Slowdown
$331 Vol.
No

Recession
$11,400 Vol.
Yes

Immigration
$560 Vol.
No

Median
$541 Vol.
No

Forward Guidance
$4,202 Vol.
No

Energy
$998 Vol.
No

Beige Book
$305 Vol.
No

Depression
$4,907 Vol.
Yes

Climate
$82 Vol.
No

China
$4,008 Vol.
No

QE / Quantitative Easing
$438 Vol.
No

Crypto / Bitcoin
$2,738 Vol.
No

AI / Artificial Intelligence
$861 Vol.
No

Market Context