The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create unbiased forecasts and "fact checks" for the most important events shaping public discourse. The accuracy of our markets is particularly invaluable in today's age of biased pundits, social media disinformation, and AI. We offer these breaking news markets as a public service to distill fact from fiction — we charge no fees & make no money on this market.

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What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with?

NEW

$357,733 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026

Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any official authority publicly confirms that the liquid sprayed at the January 27, 2026 Minneapolis town hall contained vinegar (acetic acid intended as vinegar). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no broad consensus from credible reporting and authoritative statements has been reached by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”


If the substance is confirmed to be a mixture, this market will resolve to “Yes” if vinegar is identified as one of its components.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official statements.
Volume
$357,733
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Jan 28, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any official authority publicly confirms that the liquid sprayed at the January 27, 2026 Minneapolis town hall contained vinegar (acetic acid intended as vinegar). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no broad consensus from credible reporting and authoritative statements has been reached by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.” If the substance is confirmed to be a mixture, this market will resolve to “Yes” if vinegar is identified as one of its components. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting and official statements.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create unbiased forecasts and "fact checks" for the most important events shaping public discourse. The accuracy of our markets is particularly invaluable in today's age of biased pundits, social media disinformation, and AI. We offer these breaking news markets as a public service to distill fact from fiction — we charge no fees & make no money on this market.

Market icon

What was Ilhan Omar sprayed with?

$357,733 Vol.

Bacon grease

$31,098 Vol.

1%

Urine

$57,456 Vol.

1%

Poison/Toxin

$32,603 Vol.

1%

About

Volume
$357,733
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Jan 28, 2026, 2:28 AM ET

Beware of external links.