Google has yet to officially release or confirm Veo 4 as of mid-June 2026, with the latest public model remaining Veo 3.1 from early 2026. Trader sentiment reflects expectations that built around Google I/O in May, where the company instead unveiled Gemini Omni Flash—a distinct multimodal video model with text, image, audio, and video inputs—rather than advancing the Veo lineage. This timing aligns with historical patterns of major AI reveals at the developer conference, yet the absence of a Veo 4 model card, API integration, or pricing has introduced uncertainty amid intensifying competition from OpenAI's Sora updates and other labs. Key watchpoints include any follow-up DeepMind announcements on extended video length, character consistency, or API access that could resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$45,397 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
January 31
No
February 28
No
March 31
No
April 30
No
June 30
No
$45,397 Vol.
January 31
$18,956 Vol.
No
February 28
$8,614 Vol.
No
March 31
$14,721 Vol.
No
April 30
$1,458 Vol.
No
June 30
$1,649 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google has yet to officially release or confirm Veo 4 as of mid-June 2026, with the latest public model remaining Veo 3.1 from early 2026. Trader sentiment reflects expectations that built around Google I/O in May, where the company instead unveiled Gemini Omni Flash—a distinct multimodal video model with text, image, audio, and video inputs—rather than advancing the Veo lineage. This timing aligns with historical patterns of major AI reveals at the developer conference, yet the absence of a Veo 4 model card, API integration, or pricing has introduced uncertainty amid intensifying competition from OpenAI's Sora updates and other labs. Key watchpoints include any follow-up DeepMind announcements on extended video length, character consistency, or API access that could resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jan 5, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Volume
$45,397End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google has yet to officially release or confirm Veo 4 as of mid-June 2026, with the latest public model remaining Veo 3.1 from early 2026. Trader sentiment reflects expectations that built around Google I/O in May, where the company instead unveiled Gemini Omni Flash—a distinct multimodal video model with text, image, audio, and video inputs—rather than advancing the Veo lineage. This timing aligns with historical patterns of major AI reveals at the developer conference, yet the absence of a Veo 4 model card, API integration, or pricing has introduced uncertainty amid intensifying competition from OpenAI's Sora updates and other labs. Key watchpoints include any follow-up DeepMind announcements on extended video length, character consistency, or API access that could resolve the market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google DeepMind's Veo 4 model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Veo 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Veo 4 refers to a product explicitly named Veo 4, Veo 4.0, or one that is recognized as a successor to Veo 3, similar to the progression from Veo 2 to Veo 3. Products labeled as Veo 3.2, Veo 3.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$45,397End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 4:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Google has yet to officially release or confirm Veo 4 as of mid-June 2026, with the latest public model remaining Veo 3.1 from early 2026. Trader sentiment reflects expectations that built around Google I/O in May, where the company instead unveiled Gemini Omni Flash—a distinct multimodal video model with text, image, audio, and video inputs—rather than advancing the Veo lineage. This timing aligns with historical patterns of major AI reveals at the developer conference, yet the absence of a Veo 4 model card, API integration, or pricing has introduced uncertainty amid intensifying competition from OpenAI's Sora updates and other labs. Key watchpoints include any follow-up DeepMind announcements on extended video length, character consistency, or API access that could resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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