Aston Villa leads trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Europa League, bolstered by their dominant 3-0 aggregate victory over Lille in the round of 16 last week and manager Unai Emery's unmatched record of four prior titles, positioning them favorably against Bologna in the quarter-finals. Porto (15.8%) advanced 4-1 on aggregate past Stuttgart, leveraging home advantage and defensive solidity for their matchup with Nottingham Forest (8.8%). Real Betis (15.5%) and Celta Vigo (10.2%) progressed comfortably—4-1 and 3-1 aggregates respectively—setting up intriguing Iberian clashes with Braga (4.3%) and Freiburg (5.8%), while Bologna (7.1%) rounds out the field after scraping through. Recent round of 16 results on March 19 solidified this competitive quarter-final lineup, with no major injuries reported.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedUEFA Europa League: Winner
UEFA Europa League: Winner
Aston Villa 34%
Porto 15.8%
Real Betis 16%
Celta 10.2%
$2,477,941 Vol.
$2,477,941 Vol.
Aston Villa
34%
Porto
16%
Real Betis
16%
Celta
10%
Nott'm Forest
9%
Bologna
7%
Freiburg
6%
Braga
4%
Aston Villa 34%
Porto 15.8%
Real Betis 16%
Celta 10.2%
$2,477,941 Vol.
$2,477,941 Vol.
Aston Villa
34%
Porto
16%
Real Betis
16%
Celta
10%
Nott'm Forest
9%
Bologna
7%
Freiburg
6%
Braga
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2025, 1:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Aston Villa leads trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Europa League, bolstered by their dominant 3-0 aggregate victory over Lille in the round of 16 last week and manager Unai Emery's unmatched record of four prior titles, positioning them favorably against Bologna in the quarter-finals. Porto (15.8%) advanced 4-1 on aggregate past Stuttgart, leveraging home advantage and defensive solidity for their matchup with Nottingham Forest (8.8%). Real Betis (15.5%) and Celta Vigo (10.2%) progressed comfortably—4-1 and 3-1 aggregates respectively—setting up intriguing Iberian clashes with Braga (4.3%) and Freiburg (5.8%), while Bologna (7.1%) rounds out the field after scraping through. Recent round of 16 results on March 19 solidified this competitive quarter-final lineup, with no major injuries reported.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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