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Elections·Mayoral Elections

Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner

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Elections·Mayoral Elections

Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner

Catherine Trautmann 99.3%

Jeanne Barseghian <1%

Jean-Philippe Veter <1%

Polymarket

$118,529 Vol.

Catherine Trautmann 99.3%

Jeanne Barseghian <1%

Jean-Philippe Veter <1%

Polymarket

$118,529 Vol.

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Catherine Trautmann

$78,077 Vol.

99%

Market icon

Jeanne Barseghian

$40,453 Vol.

<1%

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Jean-Philippe Veter

$0 Vol.

<1%

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Catherine Trautmann commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability to win the Strasbourg mayoral election, reflecting her dominant position as the socialist frontrunner amid favorable local polling trends and weakened challengers. Recent developments, including Jeanne Barseghian's declining approval ratings as incumbent green mayor and Jean-Philippe Vetter's struggles to consolidate right-wing support, have entrenched Trautmann's lead following key endorsements from centrist and left-leaning coalitions. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues for Trautmann, or an improbable runoff alliance between Barseghian and Vetter, structural advantages like incumbency fatigue and Strasbourg's progressive electorate make an upset highly unlikely before the vote.

The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Volume
$118,529
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The second round municipal election to elect the municipal council of Strasbourg is scheduled to take place on March 22, 2026; the elected councillors will then choose the mayor. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next elected Mayor of Strasbourg. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Catherine Trautmann commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability to win the Strasbourg mayoral election, reflecting her dominant position as the socialist frontrunner amid favorable local polling trends and weakened challengers. Recent developments, including Jeanne Barseghian's declining approval ratings as incumbent green mayor and Jean-Philippe Vetter's struggles to consolidate right-wing support, have entrenched Trautmann's lead following key endorsements from centrist and left-leaning coalitions. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues for Trautmann, or an improbable runoff alliance between Barseghian and Vetter, structural advantages like incumbency fatigue and Strasbourg's progressive electorate make an upset highly unlikely before the vote.

Catherine Trautmann commands overwhelming trader consensus at 99.2% implied probability to win the Strasbourg mayoral election, reflecting her dominant position as the socialist frontrunner amid favorable local polling trends and weakened challengers. Recent developments, including Jeanne Barseghian's declining approval ratings as incumbent green mayor and Jean-Philippe Vetter's struggles to consolidate right-wing support, have entrenched Trautmann's lead following key endorsements from centrist and left-leaning coalitions. Absent late-breaking scandals, health issues for Trautmann, or an improbable runoff alliance between Barseghian and Vetter, structural advantages like incumbency fatigue and Strasbourg's progressive electorate make an upset highly unlikely before the vote.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Catherine Trautmann" at 99%, followed by "Jeanne Barseghian" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $118.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner" is "Catherine Trautmann" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jeanne Barseghian" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Strasbourg Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.