The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs above 6,000, propelled by post-election optimism over pro-growth policies under President-elect Trump, the Federal Reserve's November 7 rate cut of 25 basis points, and resilient Q3 earnings surpassing estimates, particularly from tech megacaps driving 30%+ year-to-date gains. Cooling inflation—November CPI at 2.6% headline and 3.3% core, matching forecasts—bolsters expectations for additional Fed easing, with fed funds futures implying a 65% probability of a December cut. Traders eye this week's PPI data, November 29 retail sales, December 6 jobs report, and the December 18 FOMC as pivotal for year-end trajectory, amid low VIX readings signaling sustained risk appetite absent geopolitical flares.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $9,300
6%
↑ $8,600
9%
↑ $8,200
13%
↑ $7,800
27%
↑ $7,600
37%
↑ $7,400
40%
↓ $6,400
86%
↓ $6,200
78%
↓ $5,800
59%
↓ $5,200
40%
↓ $4,500
17%
$4,135 Vol.
↑ $9,300
$0 Vol.
6%
↑ $8,600
$0 Vol.
9%
↑ $8,200
$0 Vol.
13%
↑ $7,800
$0 Vol.
27%
↑ $7,600
$0 Vol.
37%
↑ $7,400
$0 Vol.
40%
↓ $6,400
$1,394 Vol.
86%
↓ $6,200
$0 Vol.
78%
↓ $5,800
$0 Vol.
59%
↓ $5,200
$2,741 Vol.
40%
↓ $4,500
$0 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs above 6,000, propelled by post-election optimism over pro-growth policies under President-elect Trump, the Federal Reserve's November 7 rate cut of 25 basis points, and resilient Q3 earnings surpassing estimates, particularly from tech megacaps driving 30%+ year-to-date gains. Cooling inflation—November CPI at 2.6% headline and 3.3% core, matching forecasts—bolsters expectations for additional Fed easing, with fed funds futures implying a 65% probability of a December cut. Traders eye this week's PPI data, November 29 retail sales, December 6 jobs report, and the December 18 FOMC as pivotal for year-end trajectory, amid low VIX readings signaling sustained risk appetite absent geopolitical flares.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Market Opened: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
Volume
$4,135End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs above 6,000, propelled by post-election optimism over pro-growth policies under President-elect Trump, the Federal Reserve's November 7 rate cut of 25 basis points, and resilient Q3 earnings surpassing estimates, particularly from tech megacaps driving 30%+ year-to-date gains. Cooling inflation—November CPI at 2.6% headline and 3.3% core, matching forecasts—bolsters expectations for additional Fed easing, with fed funds futures implying a 65% probability of a December cut. Traders eye this week's PPI data, November 29 retail sales, December 6 jobs report, and the December 18 FOMC as pivotal for year-end trajectory, amid low VIX readings signaling sustained risk appetite absent geopolitical flares.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$4,135End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs above 6,000, propelled by post-election optimism over pro-growth policies under President-elect Trump, the Federal Reserve's November 7 rate cut of 25 basis points, and resilient Q3 earnings surpassing estimates, particularly from tech megacaps driving 30%+ year-to-date gains. Cooling inflation—November CPI at 2.6% headline and 3.3% core, matching forecasts—bolsters expectations for additional Fed easing, with fed funds futures implying a 65% probability of a December cut. Traders eye this week's PPI data, November 29 retail sales, December 6 jobs report, and the December 18 FOMC as pivotal for year-end trajectory, amid low VIX readings signaling sustained risk appetite absent geopolitical flares.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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