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OpenAI browser by October 31?

Market icon

OpenAI browser by October 31?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$5,507,335 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$5,507,335 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser that is intended for general web browsing and is available for use by the public in at least one country or region by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," such a browser must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

Browser extensions, plugins, or integrations within third-party browsers do not count; it must be a standalone browser application.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from OpenAI. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$5,507,335
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Aug 27, 2025, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser that is intended for general web browsing and is available for use by the public in at least one country or region by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," such a browser must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. Browser extensions, plugins, or integrations within third-party browsers do not count; it must be a standalone browser application. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from OpenAI. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser that is intended for general web browsing and is available for use by the public in at least one country or region by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes," such a browser must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

Browser extensions, plugins, or integrations within third-party browsers do not count; it must be a standalone browser application.

The primary resolution source will be official announcements from OpenAI. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$5,507,335
End Date
Oct 31, 2025
Created At
Aug 27, 2025, 5:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly releases a standalone web browser that is intended for general web browsing and is available for use by the public in at least one country or region by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," such a browser must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling free waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. Browser extensions, plugins, or integrations within third-party browsers do not count; it must be a standalone browser application. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from OpenAI. If there is ambiguity, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI browser by October 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI browser by October 31?" has generated $5.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 27, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI browser by October 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "OpenAI browser by October 31?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI browser by October 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.