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icon for Ohio Senate Election: Turnout
Politics·Turnout

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

icon for Ohio Senate Election: Turnout
Politics·Turnout

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

4.65M-4.8M 28%

4.35M-4.5M 21%

4.5M-4.65M 20.7%

4.2M-4.35M 5.9%

Polymarket

$23,362 Vol.

4.65M-4.8M 28%

4.35M-4.5M 21%

4.5M-4.65M 20.7%

4.2M-4.35M 5.9%

Polymarket

$23,362 Vol.

<3.9M

$2,909 Vol.

3%

3.9M-4.05M

$2,408 Vol.

4%

4.05M-4.2M

$3,000 Vol.

5%

4.2M-4.35M

$1,571 Vol.

6%

4.35M-4.5M

$3,835 Vol.

21%

4.5M-4.65M

$2,674 Vol.

21%

4.65M-4.8M

$4,358 Vol.

28%

4.8M-4.95M

$859 Vol.

4%

4.95M-5.1M

$674 Vol.

5%

5.1M+

$1,075 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Ohio Senate race between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown, polling within a few points of a tie as of mid-September 2026, anchors trader expectations for total votes cast on November 3. Roughly 8 million registered voters in the battleground state face a special election shaped by inflation and affordability concerns that have sustained engagement on both sides, alongside Democratic primary turnout gains among unaffiliated voters in May. Older voters, motivated by Social Security and healthcare issues, add to likely-voter mobilization, while early voting patterns and union outreach further support mid-range projections clustered around 4.5–4.8 million ballots. Developments such as intensified campaign spending, shifts in independent support, or changes in national generic ballot trends could widen or narrow the distribution by altering differential turnout.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,362
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely contested Ohio Senate race between Republican incumbent Jon Husted and Democrat Sherrod Brown, polling within a few points of a tie as of mid-September 2026, anchors trader expectations for total votes cast on November 3. Roughly 8 million registered voters in the battleground state face a special election shaped by inflation and affordability concerns that have sustained engagement on both sides, alongside Democratic primary turnout gains among unaffiliated voters in May. Older voters, motivated by Social Security and healthcare issues, add to likely-voter mobilization, while early voting patterns and union outreach further support mid-range projections clustered around 4.5–4.8 million ballots. Developments such as intensified campaign spending, shifts in independent support, or changes in national generic ballot trends could widen or narrow the distribution by altering differential turnout.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$23,362
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:23 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ohio Senate Election: Turnout" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4.65M-4.8M" at 28%, followed by "4.35M-4.5M" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ohio Senate Election: Turnout" has generated $23.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ohio Senate Election: Turnout," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ohio Senate Election: Turnout" is "4.65M-4.8M" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4.35M-4.5M" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ohio Senate Election: Turnout" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.