Economy·Culture

Number of TSA Passengers March 16?

Economy·Culture

Number of TSA Passengers March 16?

Ended: Mar 16

Mar 20

Mar 21

Mar 22

Mar 23

Ended: Mar 16

Mar 20

Mar 21

Mar 22

Mar 23

2.4M-2.6M 100.0%

<2.2M <1%

2.2M-2.4M <1%

2.6M-2.8M <1%

$1,839 Vol.

$1,839 Vol.

Mar 16, 2026

<2.2M

$0 Vol.

No

2.2M-2.4M

$0 Vol.

No

2.4M-2.6M

$0 Vol.

Yes

2.6M-2.8M

$0 Vol.

No

2.8M-3.0M

$1,839 Vol.

No

>3.0M

$0 Vol.

No

2.4M-2.6M 100.0%

<2.2M <1%

2.2M-2.4M <1%

2.6M-2.8M <1%

$1,839 Vol.

$1,839 Vol.

Mar 16, 2026

<2.2M

$0 Vol.

No

2.2M-2.4M

$0 Vol.

No

2.4M-2.6M

$0 Vol.

Yes

2.6M-2.8M

$0 Vol.

No

2.8M-3.0M

$1,839 Vol.

No

>3.0M

$0 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 16, 2026. If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered. If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly priced in 2.4 million to 2.6 million TSA-screened passengers for March 16 at 100% implied probability, driven by recent daily throughput data showing spring break stabilization around 2.5 million—March 15 recorded 2.567 million, following 2.423 million on March 14 and peaks near 2.8 million earlier in the week. This reflects resilient U.S. consumer spending and leisure travel demand amid low unemployment and moderating inflation, with airlines maintaining capacity despite jet fuel costs. Scenarios challenging this positioning include severe weather disruptions at major hubs like Atlanta or Dallas, or widespread flight cancellations, potentially dipping volumes below 2.4 million, though historical precedents suggest limited downside risk absent such shocks.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 17, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC

Beware of external links.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of TSA Passengers March 16?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2.4M-2.6M" at 100%, followed by "<2.2M" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Number of TSA Passengers March 16?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Number of TSA Passengers March 16?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of TSA Passengers March 16?" is "2.4M-2.6M" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<2.2M" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of TSA Passengers March 16?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Number of TSA Passengers March 16?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Number of TSA Passengers March 16?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Number of TSA Passengers March 16?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "2.4M-2.6M" in the "Number of TSA Passengers March 16?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "2.4M-2.6M" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Number of TSA Passengers March 16?" market has been resolved. The final result has been determined and the market is no longer open for trading. You can still review the historical odds, outcome probabilities, and comments on this page to see how predictions evolved over time.

The "Number of TSA Passengers March 16?" market has an active community of 75 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Number of TSA Passengers March 16?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.