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Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

Market icon
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner

Jacob deGrom 38%

Garrett Crochet 15%

Max Fried 10.1%

Hunter Brown 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Jacob deGrom 38%

Garrett Crochet 15%

Max Fried 10.1%

Hunter Brown 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Tarik Skubal

$0 Vol.

43%

Garrett Crochet

$0 Vol.

15%

Jacob deGrom

$371 Vol.

38%

Cole Ragans

$0 Vol.

4%

Hunter Brown

$0 Vol.

7%

Max Fried

$435 Vol.

10%

Bryan Woo

$0 Vol.

15%

Logan Gilbert

$0 Vol.

5%

Kyle Bradish

$0 Vol.

5%

Joe Ryan

$0 Vol.

5%

Ranger Suarez

$174 Vol.

31%

Nathan Eovaldi

$0 Vol.

5%

Dylan Cease

$0 Vol.

8%

George Kirby

$0 Vol.

6%

Carlos Rodón

$0 Vol.

6%

Kevin Gausman

$0 Vol.

3%

MacKenzie Gore

$0 Vol.

5%

Jose Soriano

$0 Vol.

12%

Pablo Lopez

$762 Vol.

2%

Gavin Williams

$0 Vol.

5%

Bryce Miller

$0 Vol.

5%

Cam Schlittler

$0 Vol.

10%

Gerrit Cole

$0 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tarik Skubal leads trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability to win a third straight AL Cy Young after back-to-back triumphs in 2024-25, bolstered by dominant spring training outings that echo his elite strikeout rates and sub-2.50 ERA command. Jacob deGrom trails closely at 37.5%, reflecting his resurgent 2025 with a 2.97 ERA over 100+ innings—his first full workload since prior Cy Young seasons—positioning the 37-year-old Rangers ace for ace-level dominance if health holds. Ranger Suárez at 27.5% gains traction from his January $130 million signing with the Red Sox, slotting into a contender rotation amid AL East arms race dynamics, keeping the top trio tightly contested amid uncertain workloads, team win totals, and early-season health reports.

Tarik Skubal leads trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability to win a third straight AL Cy Young after back-to-back triumphs in 2024-25, bolstered by dominant spring training outings that echo his elite strikeout rates and sub-2.50 ERA command. Jacob deGrom trails closely at 37.5%, reflecting his resurgent 2025 with a 2.97 ERA over 100+ innings—his first full workload since prior Cy Young seasons—positioning the 37-year-old Rangers ace for ace-level dominance if health holds. Ranger Suárez at 27.5% gains traction from his January $130 million signing with the Red Sox, slotting into a contender rotation amid AL East arms race dynamics, keeping the top trio tightly contested amid uncertain workloads, team win totals, and early-season health reports.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tarik Skubal leads trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability to win a third straight AL Cy Young after back-to-back triumphs in 2024-25, bolstered by dominant spring training outings that echo his elite strikeout rates and sub-2.50 ERA command. Jacob deGrom trails closely at 37.5%, reflecting his resurgent 2025 with a 2.97 ERA over 100+ innings—his first full workload since prior Cy Young seasons—positioning the 37-year-old Rangers ace for ace-level dominance if health holds. Ranger Suárez at 27.5% gains traction from his January $130 million signing with the Red Sox, slotting into a contender rotation amid AL East arms race dynamics, keeping the top trio tightly contested amid uncertain workloads, team win totals, and early-season health reports.

Tarik Skubal leads trader consensus at 44.5% implied probability to win a third straight AL Cy Young after back-to-back triumphs in 2024-25, bolstered by dominant spring training outings that echo his elite strikeout rates and sub-2.50 ERA command. Jacob deGrom trails closely at 37.5%, reflecting his resurgent 2025 with a 2.97 ERA over 100+ innings—his first full workload since prior Cy Young seasons—positioning the 37-year-old Rangers ace for ace-level dominance if health holds. Ranger Suárez at 27.5% gains traction from his January $130 million signing with the Red Sox, slotting into a contender rotation amid AL East arms race dynamics, keeping the top trio tightly contested amid uncertain workloads, team win totals, and early-season health reports.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tarik Skubal" at 44%, followed by "Jacob deGrom" at 38%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" is "Tarik Skubal" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jacob deGrom" at 38%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.