How many Fed rate cuts this year?
4 (100 bps) 99.9%
0 <1%
1 (25 bps) <1%
2 (50 bps) <1%
$49,441,487 Vol.
$49,441,487 Vol.
Dec 30, 2024
0
$2,049,580 Vol.
No
0
$2,049,580 Vol.
No
1 (25 bps)
$1,407,495 Vol.
No
1 (25 bps)
$1,407,495 Vol.
No
2 (50 bps)
$3,982,526 Vol.
No
2 (50 bps)
$3,982,526 Vol.
No
3 (75 bps)
$8,337,157 Vol.
No
3 (75 bps)
$8,337,157 Vol.
No
4 (100 bps)
$6,812,525 Vol.
Yes
4 (100 bps)
$6,812,525 Vol.
Yes
5 (125 bps)
$6,683,118 Vol.
No
5 (125 bps)
$6,683,118 Vol.
No
6 or more (150+ bps)
$20,169,086 Vol.
No
6 or more (150+ bps)
$20,169,086 Vol.
No
Rules
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there no rate cuts by the Fed's December meeting (including the Dec meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately after the statement from the Fed's December 2024 meeting has been released if there has been no rate cuts by then.
If there is a rate cut at any time within 2024, before the statement following the December FOMC meeting is released, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there no rate cuts by the Fed's December meeting (including the Dec meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately after the statement from the Fed's December 2024 meeting has been released if there has been no rate cuts by then.
If there is a rate cut at any time within 2024, before the statement following the December FOMC meeting is released, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the there no rate cuts by the Fed's December meeting (including the Dec meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market may resolve to "Yes" immediately after the statement from the Fed's December 2024 meeting has been released if there has been no rate cuts by then.
If there is a rate cut at any time within 2024, before the statement following the December FOMC meeting is released, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2024 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Created At: Mar 21, 2024, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$49,441,487End Date
Dec 31, 2024Created At
Mar 21, 2024, 12:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
How many Fed rate cuts this year?
4 (100 bps) 99.9%
0 <1%
1 (25 bps) <1%
2 (50 bps) <1%
$49,441,487 Vol.
$49,441,487 Vol.
Dec 30, 2024
0
$2,049,580 Vol.
No
1 (25 bps)
$1,407,495 Vol.
No
2 (50 bps)
$3,982,526 Vol.
No
3 (75 bps)
$8,337,157 Vol.
No
4 (100 bps)
$6,812,525 Vol.
Yes
5 (125 bps)
$6,683,118 Vol.
No
6 or more (150+ bps)
$20,169,086 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$49,441,487End Date
Dec 31, 2024Created At
Mar 21, 2024, 12:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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