How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25?
0 47%
1 32%
2 14%
3 6.5%
$15,888 Vol.
$15,888 Vol.
0
$4,374 Vol.
47%
0
$4,374 Vol.
47%
1
$1,480 Vol.
32%
1
$1,480 Vol.
32%
2
$1,941 Vol.
14%
2
$1,941 Vol.
14%
3
$1,814 Vol.
6%
3
$1,814 Vol.
6%
4
$1,570 Vol.
2%
4
$1,570 Vol.
2%
5
$2,084 Vol.
1%
5
$2,084 Vol.
1%
>5
$2,624 Vol.
1%
>5
$2,624 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and January 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until February 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until February 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Created At: Jan 16, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volume
$15,888End Date
Jan 25, 2026Created At
Jan 16, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...How many 6.5 or above earthquakes by January 25?
0 47%
1 32%
2 14%
3 6.5%
$15,888 Vol.
$15,888 Vol.
0
$4,374 Vol.
47%
1
$1,480 Vol.
32%
2
$1,941 Vol.
14%
3
$1,814 Vol.
6%
4
$1,570 Vol.
2%
5
$2,084 Vol.
1%
>5
$2,624 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$15,888End Date
Jan 25, 2026Created At
Jan 16, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.