Trader consensus heavily favors "Hoppers" grossing $16.5-18 million in its third weekend (63% implied probability), driven by a respectable 45% drop from its $32 million second-weekend haul amid steady word-of-mouth and family audience turnout. The film, Sony's animated grasshopper adventure, has earned an A CinemaScore and 78% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes, supporting a typical 40-50% third-frame decline seen in recent animated hits like "The Wild Robot." Minimal competition from holdovers positions the 18-19.5m range (37%) as the next likely outcome, though a surprise surge could push higher if holiday momentum builds; underperformance risks remain negligible at 0.5%. Key watch: Friday previews and Saturday family matinees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated"Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office
"Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office
16.5-18m 61.9%
18-19.5m 37%
<16.5m <1%
19.5-21m <1%
$54,880 Vol.
$54,880 Vol.
<16.5m
1%
16.5-18m
62%
18-19.5m
37%
19.5-21m
<1%
>21m
<1%
16.5-18m 61.9%
18-19.5m 37%
<16.5m <1%
19.5-21m <1%
$54,880 Vol.
$54,880 Vol.
<16.5m
1%
16.5-18m
62%
18-19.5m
37%
19.5-21m
<1%
>21m
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is no final data available by March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Mar 17, 2026, 9:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors "Hoppers" grossing $16.5-18 million in its third weekend (63% implied probability), driven by a respectable 45% drop from its $32 million second-weekend haul amid steady word-of-mouth and family audience turnout. The film, Sony's animated grasshopper adventure, has earned an A CinemaScore and 78% audience score on Rotten Tomatoes, supporting a typical 40-50% third-frame decline seen in recent animated hits like "The Wild Robot." Minimal competition from holdovers positions the 18-19.5m range (37%) as the next likely outcome, though a surprise surge could push higher if holiday momentum builds; underperformance risks remain negligible at 0.5%. Key watch: Friday previews and Saturday family matinees.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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