The National Environment Agency's latest fortnightly outlook, released two days ago, highlights the onset of inter-monsoon conditions ushering more frequent afternoon thundery showers across Singapore's first half of April, yet anticipates daily maximum temperatures ranging 33–35°C on most days amid variable cloud cover. This drives trader consensus toward a tight race among 31°C (26% implied probability), 32°C (33%), and 33°C (18%), as showers may cap peak insolation and heat buildup—typically occurring 2–4 p.m.—despite persistent high humidity and urban heat island effects at official stations like Changi. April climatology averages highs near 31.7°C, but recent warm anomalies tilt odds higher; daily NEA updates through April 5 will clarify model consensus on sunshine hours and shower timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
32°C 34%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 12%
$11,386 Vol.
$11,386 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C
34%
33°C
18%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 34%
31°C 26%
33°C 18%
30°C 12%
$11,386 Vol.
$11,386 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
12%
31°C
26%
32°C
34%
33°C
18%
34°C
10%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Environment Agency's latest fortnightly outlook, released two days ago, highlights the onset of inter-monsoon conditions ushering more frequent afternoon thundery showers across Singapore's first half of April, yet anticipates daily maximum temperatures ranging 33–35°C on most days amid variable cloud cover. This drives trader consensus toward a tight race among 31°C (26% implied probability), 32°C (33%), and 33°C (18%), as showers may cap peak insolation and heat buildup—typically occurring 2–4 p.m.—despite persistent high humidity and urban heat island effects at official stations like Changi. April climatology averages highs near 31.7°C, but recent warm anomalies tilt odds higher; daily NEA updates through April 5 will clarify model consensus on sunshine hours and shower timing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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