Trader consensus favors 16°C at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 17°C and 15°C, mirroring the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting Paris highs of 14–16°C on April 6 amid a cool, unsettled pattern with lingering low-pressure influence over western Europe. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing moderate temperature anomalies near seasonal norms (historical April 6 averages ~13°C), but with spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 15°C or below, while breaks allowing solar heating and weak southerly flow might boost to 17–18°C. Daily forecast updates from the National Hurricane Center equivalent for Europe, Météo-France, expected through April 5, will refine steering patterns and insulation potential driving final divergence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on April 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 6?
16°C 31%
17°C 26%
18°C 16%
15°C 14%
14°C or below
13%
15°C
14%
16°C
31%
17°C
24%
18°C
16%
19°C
10%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
16°C 31%
17°C 26%
18°C 16%
15°C 14%
14°C or below
13%
15°C
14%
16°C
31%
17°C
24%
18°C
16%
19°C
10%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 16°C at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 17°C and 15°C, mirroring the latest Météo-France guidance and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting Paris highs of 14–16°C on April 6 amid a cool, unsettled pattern with lingering low-pressure influence over western Europe. This positioning stems from recent model runs showing moderate temperature anomalies near seasonal norms (historical April 6 averages ~13°C), but with spread arising from uncertainties in cloud cover—persistent overcast could cap peaks at 15°C or below, while breaks allowing solar heating and weak southerly flow might boost to 17–18°C. Daily forecast updates from the National Hurricane Center equivalent for Europe, Météo-France, expected through April 5, will refine steering patterns and insulation potential driving final divergence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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