The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued this morning, projects a maximum temperature of 26–28°C in Mexico City today, reflecting strong trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 23°C or higher amid typical April climatology with average highs near 25°C. Morning observations at Benito Juárez International Airport recorded a low of 12°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with haze, setting up ample solar heating despite expected afternoon showers (5–25 mm) from low-pressure channels, upper-level instability, and moisture from the Pacific and Gulf of Mexico. Model consensus supports warm conditions, though persistent heavy thunderstorms or unexpected cold air advection could theoretically cap peaks below 23°C—scenarios deemed improbable given current synoptic patterns and diurnal momentum. Final resolution awaits evening airport readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 10?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 10?
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$41,214 Vol.
$41,214 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
23°C or higher 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$41,214 Vol.
$41,214 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued this morning, projects a maximum temperature of 26–28°C in Mexico City today, reflecting strong trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 23°C or higher amid typical April climatology with average highs near 25°C. Morning observations at Benito Juárez International Airport recorded a low of 12°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with haze, setting up ample solar heating despite expected afternoon showers (5–25 mm) from low-pressure channels, upper-level instability, and moisture from the Pacific and Gulf of Mexico. Model consensus supports warm conditions, though persistent heavy thunderstorms or unexpected cold air advection could theoretically cap peaks below 23°C—scenarios deemed improbable given current synoptic patterns and diurnal momentum. Final resolution awaits evening airport readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions