Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by Pakistan Meteorological Department observations and forecasts indicating daytime maxima of 34–36°C under clear skies and high-pressure dominance following recent April rains that broke 41-year records. This aligns with Karachi's April climatology, where average highs hit 35°C amid pre-monsoon heating, amplified by urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover. Current conditions already show temperatures pushing the threshold mid-afternoon, with official airport readings confirming the trend. Realistic challenges are slim—only an unexpected strong sea breeze or sudden dust intrusion could cap peaks below 35°C, per model ensembles, but steering patterns favor sustained warmth through resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$23,876 Vol.
$23,876 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
Yes
35°C or higher 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$23,876 Vol.
$23,876 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for Karachi's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by Pakistan Meteorological Department observations and forecasts indicating daytime maxima of 34–36°C under clear skies and high-pressure dominance following recent April rains that broke 41-year records. This aligns with Karachi's April climatology, where average highs hit 35°C amid pre-monsoon heating, amplified by urban heat island effects and minimal cloud cover. Current conditions already show temperatures pushing the threshold mid-afternoon, with official airport readings confirming the trend. Realistic challenges are slim—only an unexpected strong sea breeze or sudden dust intrusion could cap peaks below 35°C, per model ensembles, but steering patterns favor sustained warmth through resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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