Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 5, with 22°C (23%) and 23°C (25%) leading amid a spread across 20–24°C outcomes, driven by conflicting global model runs like GFS and ECMWF. The China Meteorological Administration's April 2 update projected 26°C under cloudy-to-shower conditions, but traders discount this due to recent cooling trends—April 1 highs near 26°C dropped to 22°C forecasts by April 2 amid frontal moisture from the Yangtze Basin—increasing cloud cover and suppressing peaks below the 23°C April climatological average. Ensemble models show 1–2°C spreads from variable low-level temperature advection and precipitation timing; overnight updates from CMA and new model ensembles could tip the balance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
23°C 26%
22°C 22%
24°C 20%
21°C 16%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
16%
22°C
22%
23°C
26%
24°C
20%
25°C
10%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
2%
23°C 26%
22°C 22%
24°C 20%
21°C 16%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
11%
21°C
16%
22°C
22%
23°C
26%
24°C
20%
25°C
10%
26°C
5%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 5, with 22°C (23%) and 23°C (25%) leading amid a spread across 20–24°C outcomes, driven by conflicting global model runs like GFS and ECMWF. The China Meteorological Administration's April 2 update projected 26°C under cloudy-to-shower conditions, but traders discount this due to recent cooling trends—April 1 highs near 26°C dropped to 22°C forecasts by April 2 amid frontal moisture from the Yangtze Basin—increasing cloud cover and suppressing peaks below the 23°C April climatological average. Ensemble models show 1–2°C spreads from variable low-level temperature advection and precipitation timing; overnight updates from CMA and new model ensembles could tip the balance before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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