Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), the market's reference station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 25°C this afternoon amid persistent overcast conditions and light showers, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Weather Underground and short-range forecast models like GFS showed temperatures plateauing at 22–25°C through midday before evening cooling to around 16°C, aligning with Chengdu's April climatology of frequent cloud cover suppressing highs above 25°C on such days. A challenge would require an official data revision revealing a late-afternoon spike from sudden clearing—unlikely given the completed diurnal heating cycle and ongoing cloudiness—but final CMA daily bulletin will provide closure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 16?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$75,329 Vol.
$75,329 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$75,329 Vol.
$75,329 Vol.
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport (ZUUU), the market's reference station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, confirm the highest temperature peaked at 25°C this afternoon amid persistent overcast conditions and light showers, driving near-unanimous trader consensus with 100% implied probability on this outcome. Weather Underground and short-range forecast models like GFS showed temperatures plateauing at 22–25°C through midday before evening cooling to around 16°C, aligning with Chengdu's April climatology of frequent cloud cover suppressing highs above 25°C on such days. A challenge would require an official data revision revealing a late-afternoon spike from sudden clearing—unlikely given the completed diurnal heating cycle and ongoing cloudiness—but final CMA daily bulletin will provide closure.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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