Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from KNMI showing a spread of 18–22°C under anticipated sunny, dry conditions following a recent mild spell peaking near 22°C earlier this week. This even distribution across outcomes stems from early April's transitional weather patterns in the Netherlands, where southerly winds can advect warmer Atlantic air, but jet stream shifts or unexpected cloud cover could lower highs toward seasonal norms of 11–12°C. Model disagreements in ECMWF and GFS runs highlight key differentiators like frontal timing and soil moisture effects on daytime heating. Watch for daily KNMI updates and new model ensembles through April 6 to narrow the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 7?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 7?
12°C or below 26%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
15°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
12°C or below
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
26%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
26%
19°C
26%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C or higher
14%
12°C or below 26%
13°C 26%
14°C 26%
15°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Apr 7, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
26%
13°C
$0 Vol.
26%
14°C
$0 Vol.
26%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
26%
22°C or higher
$5 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from KNMI showing a spread of 18–22°C under anticipated sunny, dry conditions following a recent mild spell peaking near 22°C earlier this week. This even distribution across outcomes stems from early April's transitional weather patterns in the Netherlands, where southerly winds can advect warmer Atlantic air, but jet stream shifts or unexpected cloud cover could lower highs toward seasonal norms of 11–12°C. Model disagreements in ECMWF and GFS runs highlight key differentiators like frontal timing and soil moisture effects on daytime heating. Watch for daily KNMI updates and new model ensembles through April 6 to narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 8:59 PM ET
Volume
$5End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 8:59 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from KNMI showing a spread of 18–22°C under anticipated sunny, dry conditions following a recent mild spell peaking near 22°C earlier this week. This even distribution across outcomes stems from early April's transitional weather patterns in the Netherlands, where southerly winds can advect warmer Atlantic air, but jet stream shifts or unexpected cloud cover could lower highs toward seasonal norms of 11–12°C. Model disagreements in ECMWF and GFS runs highlight key differentiators like frontal timing and soil moisture effects on daytime heating. Watch for daily KNMI updates and new model ensembles through April 6 to narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5End Date
Apr 7, 2026Market Opened
Apr 2, 2026, 8:59 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects substantial uncertainty in Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from KNMI showing a spread of 18–22°C under anticipated sunny, dry conditions following a recent mild spell peaking near 22°C earlier this week. This even distribution across outcomes stems from early April's transitional weather patterns in the Netherlands, where southerly winds can advect warmer Atlantic air, but jet stream shifts or unexpected cloud cover could lower highs toward seasonal norms of 11–12°C. Model disagreements in ECMWF and GFS runs highlight key differentiators like frontal timing and soil moisture effects on daytime heating. Watch for daily KNMI updates and new model ensembles through April 6 to narrow the range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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