Gold futures (GC) have plunged nearly 10% in March 2026—one of the metal's worst monthly drops on record—trading around $4,400 per ounce as of March 28, reflecting trader consensus pricing in zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for the year amid steady 2.4% February CPI inflation and a resilient U.S. dollar. This sharp reversal from earlier highs above $5,000 stems from fading safe-haven demand despite prolonged Iran-U.S. tensions and an oil shock, with markets now favoring higher real yields that pressure non-yielding assets like gold. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10, April 28-29 FOMC meeting, and June 16-17 policy review, where inflation trajectory and labor data could recalibrate rate path expectations and gold's trajectory by quarter-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
$2,473,563 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
↑ $10,000
2%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
4%
↑ $7,000
4%
↑ $6,500
7%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ $6,000
13%
↑ $5,700
21%
↑ $5,500
30%
↓ $4,200
69%
↓ $3,800
22%
↓ $3,400
9%
$2,473,563 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$110,118 Vol.
2%
↑ $8,500
$217,450 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,000
$92,722 Vol.
3%
↑ $8,000
$227,380 Vol.
4%
↑ $7,000
$227,882 Vol.
4%
↑ $6,500
$187,115 Vol.
7%
↑ $6,200
$68,257 Vol.
10%
↑ $6,000
$201,676 Vol.
13%
↑ $5,700
$47,547 Vol.
21%
↑ $5,500
$776,918 Vol.
30%
↓ $4,200
$185,493 Vol.
69%
↓ $3,800
$43,805 Vol.
22%
↓ $3,400
$34,305 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have plunged nearly 10% in March 2026—one of the metal's worst monthly drops on record—trading around $4,400 per ounce as of March 28, reflecting trader consensus pricing in zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for the year amid steady 2.4% February CPI inflation and a resilient U.S. dollar. This sharp reversal from earlier highs above $5,000 stems from fading safe-haven demand despite prolonged Iran-U.S. tensions and an oil shock, with markets now favoring higher real yields that pressure non-yielding assets like gold. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10, April 28-29 FOMC meeting, and June 16-17 policy review, where inflation trajectory and labor data could recalibrate rate path expectations and gold's trajectory by quarter-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$2,473,563End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have plunged nearly 10% in March 2026—one of the metal's worst monthly drops on record—trading around $4,400 per ounce as of March 28, reflecting trader consensus pricing in zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for the year amid steady 2.4% February CPI inflation and a resilient U.S. dollar. This sharp reversal from earlier highs above $5,000 stems from fading safe-haven demand despite prolonged Iran-U.S. tensions and an oil shock, with markets now favoring higher real yields that pressure non-yielding assets like gold. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10, April 28-29 FOMC meeting, and June 16-17 policy review, where inflation trajectory and labor data could recalibrate rate path expectations and gold's trajectory by quarter-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$2,473,563End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have plunged nearly 10% in March 2026—one of the metal's worst monthly drops on record—trading around $4,400 per ounce as of March 28, reflecting trader consensus pricing in zero Federal Reserve rate cuts for the year amid steady 2.4% February CPI inflation and a resilient U.S. dollar. This sharp reversal from earlier highs above $5,000 stems from fading safe-haven demand despite prolonged Iran-U.S. tensions and an oil shock, with markets now favoring higher real yields that pressure non-yielding assets like gold. Key catalysts ahead include March CPI on April 10, April 28-29 FOMC meeting, and June 16-17 policy review, where inflation trajectory and labor data could recalibrate rate path expectations and gold's trajectory by quarter-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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