Gold futures (GC) have retreated to around $4,450 per ounce after the Federal Reserve's March 18 meeting held rates steady, signaling just one cut in 2026 amid hotter-than-expected inflation from oil price surges and geopolitical risks like Middle East tensions. This hawkish repricing strengthened the U.S. dollar and lifted real Treasury yields, pressuring non-yielding gold despite ongoing central bank buying. Markets now imply trader consensus for subdued upside by June, tempered by persistent inflation above 2% targets. Watch April CPI and PPI releases ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC, plus June's dot plot update, as softer data could revive rate-cut bets and boost gold toward $4,800 or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWhat will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
$2,482,678 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
↑ $10,000
2%
↑ $8,500
3%
↑ $9,000
3%
↑ $8,000
4%
↑ $7,000
5%
↑ $6,500
7%
↑ $6,200
10%
↑ $6,000
13%
↑ $5,700
21%
↑ $5,500
27%
↓ $4,200
68%
↓ $3,800
22%
↓ $3,400
10%
$2,482,678 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$110,118 Vol.
2%
↑ $8,500
$217,450 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,000
$92,722 Vol.
3%
↑ $8,000
$227,380 Vol.
4%
↑ $7,000
$228,006 Vol.
5%
↑ $6,500
$187,115 Vol.
7%
↑ $6,200
$68,615 Vol.
10%
↑ $6,000
$201,676 Vol.
13%
↑ $5,700
$47,547 Vol.
21%
↑ $5,500
$783,421 Vol.
27%
↓ $4,200
$185,947 Vol.
68%
↓ $3,800
$46,319 Vol.
22%
↓ $3,400
$34,305 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have retreated to around $4,450 per ounce after the Federal Reserve's March 18 meeting held rates steady, signaling just one cut in 2026 amid hotter-than-expected inflation from oil price surges and geopolitical risks like Middle East tensions. This hawkish repricing strengthened the U.S. dollar and lifted real Treasury yields, pressuring non-yielding gold despite ongoing central bank buying. Markets now imply trader consensus for subdued upside by June, tempered by persistent inflation above 2% targets. Watch April CPI and PPI releases ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC, plus June's dot plot update, as softer data could revive rate-cut bets and boost gold toward $4,800 or higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Market Opened: Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Volume
$2,482,678End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have retreated to around $4,450 per ounce after the Federal Reserve's March 18 meeting held rates steady, signaling just one cut in 2026 amid hotter-than-expected inflation from oil price surges and geopolitical risks like Middle East tensions. This hawkish repricing strengthened the U.S. dollar and lifted real Treasury yields, pressuring non-yielding gold despite ongoing central bank buying. Markets now imply trader consensus for subdued upside by June, tempered by persistent inflation above 2% targets. Watch April CPI and PPI releases ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC, plus June's dot plot update, as softer data could revive rate-cut bets and boost gold toward $4,800 or higher.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volume
$2,482,678End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have retreated to around $4,450 per ounce after the Federal Reserve's March 18 meeting held rates steady, signaling just one cut in 2026 amid hotter-than-expected inflation from oil price surges and geopolitical risks like Middle East tensions. This hawkish repricing strengthened the U.S. dollar and lifted real Treasury yields, pressuring non-yielding gold despite ongoing central bank buying. Markets now imply trader consensus for subdued upside by June, tempered by persistent inflation above 2% targets. Watch April CPI and PPI releases ahead of the April 28-29 FOMC, plus June's dot plot update, as softer data could revive rate-cut bets and boost gold toward $4,800 or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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