A recent Zto Research poll from March 10-13 shows incumbent Rep. David Scott statistically tied with state Rep. Jasmine Clark at around 30% each in the GA-13 Democratic primary, with 12% undecided, driving trader consensus on their shared 34% implied probabilities ahead of the May 19 contest. Voter fatigue with Scott's long tenure, age concerns, and revelations of voting absences in recent elections have narrowed his edge against Clark's momentum from endorsements like Higher Heights for America PAC, while Everton Blair Jr.'s 19.5% reflects gains from Ron McKenzie's February suspension and endorsement. In this crowded eight-way field, upcoming fundraising reports, major endorsements, candidate forums, or shifts among undecideds in Gwinnett and DeKalb counties could create separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedGA-13 Democratic Primary Winner
GA-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Jasmine Clark 35%
David Scott 34%
Everton Blair Jr. 21%
Pierre Whatley 4.5%
Jasmine Clark
34%
David Scott
34%
Everton Blair Jr.
21%
Pierre Whatley
4%
Emanuel Jones
2%
Jeffree Fauntleroy Sr.
2%
Joe Lester
2%
Heavenly Kimes
1%
Jasmine Clark 35%
David Scott 34%
Everton Blair Jr. 21%
Pierre Whatley 4.5%
Jasmine Clark
34%
David Scott
34%
Everton Blair Jr.
21%
Pierre Whatley
4%
Emanuel Jones
2%
Jeffree Fauntleroy Sr.
2%
Joe Lester
2%
Heavenly Kimes
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Mar 20, 2026, 1:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A recent Zto Research poll from March 10-13 shows incumbent Rep. David Scott statistically tied with state Rep. Jasmine Clark at around 30% each in the GA-13 Democratic primary, with 12% undecided, driving trader consensus on their shared 34% implied probabilities ahead of the May 19 contest. Voter fatigue with Scott's long tenure, age concerns, and revelations of voting absences in recent elections have narrowed his edge against Clark's momentum from endorsements like Higher Heights for America PAC, while Everton Blair Jr.'s 19.5% reflects gains from Ron McKenzie's February suspension and endorsement. In this crowded eight-way field, upcoming fundraising reports, major endorsements, candidate forums, or shifts among undecideds in Gwinnett and DeKalb counties could create separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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