Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 78% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup Group C, driven by their five-time champion pedigree, world-class talent like Vinícius Júnior and Rodrygo, and unbeaten streak in recent CONMEBOL qualifiers including a 1-0 victory over Venezuela on October 15. Morocco holds 16.5% as the viable challenger after their stunning 2022 World Cup semifinal run and topping CAF Group B with wins like 4-0 over Zambia last month, showcasing defensive solidity under Walid Regragui. Scotland (4%) and Haiti (1.1%) lag due to Scotland's dismal UEFA qualifying record—zero WC wins ever—and Haiti's lower CONCACAF standing with inconsistent form; no key injuries or withdrawals reported in the past 48 hours shift the dynamics ahead of the tournament draw.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBrazil 78%
Morocco 17%
Scotland 4.0%
Haiti 1.1%
$65,078 Vol.
$65,078 Vol.
Brazil
78%
Morocco
17%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
1%
Brazil 78%
Morocco 17%
Scotland 4.0%
Haiti 1.1%
$65,078 Vol.
$65,078 Vol.
Brazil
78%
Morocco
17%
Scotland
4%
Haiti
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Brazil at 78% implied probability to win FIFA World Cup Group C, driven by their five-time champion pedigree, world-class talent like Vinícius Júnior and Rodrygo, and unbeaten streak in recent CONMEBOL qualifiers including a 1-0 victory over Venezuela on October 15. Morocco holds 16.5% as the viable challenger after their stunning 2022 World Cup semifinal run and topping CAF Group B with wins like 4-0 over Zambia last month, showcasing defensive solidity under Walid Regragui. Scotland (4%) and Haiti (1.1%) lag due to Scotland's dismal UEFA qualifying record—zero WC wins ever—and Haiti's lower CONCACAF standing with inconsistent form; no key injuries or withdrawals reported in the past 48 hours shift the dynamics ahead of the tournament draw.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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