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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 35.4%

France 11.9%

Denmark 11.8%

Australia 8.5%

Polymarket

$44,035,516 Vol.

Finland 35.4%

France 11.9%

Denmark 11.8%

Australia 8.5%

Polymarket

$44,035,516 Vol.

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Finland

$1,780,149 Vol.

35%

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France

$1,199,421 Vol.

12%

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Denmark

$818,869 Vol.

12%

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Australia

$1,097,957 Vol.

8%

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Greece

$1,214,941 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,121,015 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$806,705 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,010,328 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,380,358 Vol.

2%

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Malta

$896,577 Vol.

1%

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Romania

$778,460 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$726,814 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$1,032,695 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,023,802 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$791,955 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$652,964 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$891,229 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,167,002 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$843,230 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,163,080 Vol.

1%

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Serbia

$739,397 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,128,407 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,565,581 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,420,150 Vol.

<1%

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Moldova

$846,419 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$1,743,531 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,070,845 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,187,702 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,496,066 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$1,862,058 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,785,267 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,635,512 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,582,542 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,106,892 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,492,692 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's commanding 35.3% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner stems from its dominant victory in the 2025 contest in Basel, where JJ's "Cha Cha Cha" triumphed via strong televote and jury support, securing hosting rights for Helsinki next May and fueling trader optimism around home-crowd momentum and top-tier production. France (11.9%) and Denmark (11.8%) trail closely, buoyed by consistent recent semifinal-to-final pipelines and powerhouse national selections like Vidbir and Dansk Melodi Grand Prix, which often yield competitive entries. Australia (8.5%) benefits from perennial fanbase loyalty despite non-European status. With national finals kicking off early 2026, traders eye song quality and artist buzz as key swing factors in this wide-open field, where early consensus reflects Nordic strength and historical host advantages.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$44,035,516
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's commanding 35.3% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner stems from its dominant victory in the 2025 contest in Basel, where JJ's "Cha Cha Cha" triumphed via strong televote and jury support, securing hosting rights for Helsinki next May and fueling trader optimism around home-crowd momentum and top-tier production. France (11.9%) and Denmark (11.8%) trail closely, buoyed by consistent recent semifinal-to-final pipelines and powerhouse national selections like Vidbir and Dansk Melodi Grand Prix, which often yield competitive entries. Australia (8.5%) benefits from perennial fanbase loyalty despite non-European status. With national finals kicking off early 2026, traders eye song quality and artist buzz as key swing factors in this wide-open field, where early consensus reflects Nordic strength and historical host advantages.

Finland's commanding 35.3% implied probability as Eurovision 2026 frontrunner stems from its dominant victory in the 2025 contest in Basel, where JJ's "Cha Cha Cha" triumphed via strong televote and jury support, securing hosting rights for Helsinki next May and fueling trader optimism around home-crowd momentum and top-tier production. France (11.9%) and Denmark (11.8%) trail closely, buoyed by consistent recent semifinal-to-final pipelines and powerhouse national selections like Vidbir and Dansk Melodi Grand Prix, which often yield competitive entries. Australia (8.5%) benefits from perennial fanbase loyalty despite non-European status. With national finals kicking off early 2026, traders eye song quality and artist buzz as key swing factors in this wide-open field, where early consensus reflects Nordic strength and historical host advantages.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

21%
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Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

66%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

89%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 35%, followed by "France" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $44 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.