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Eurovision Winner 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Winner 2026

Finland 36.1%

France 12.0%

Denmark 11.9%

Greece 6.6%

Polymarket

$43,636,326 Vol.

Finland 36.1%

France 12.0%

Denmark 11.9%

Greece 6.6%

Polymarket

$43,636,326 Vol.

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Finland

$1,771,067 Vol.

36%

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France

$1,187,657 Vol.

12%

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Denmark

$814,973 Vol.

12%

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Greece

$1,208,035 Vol.

7%

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Australia

$1,071,138 Vol.

7%

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Israel

$1,112,588 Vol.

4%

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Sweden

$802,864 Vol.

4%

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Ukraine

$1,005,615 Vol.

3%

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Italy

$1,375,284 Vol.

3%

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Malta

$893,906 Vol.

1%

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Romania

$769,421 Vol.

1%

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Czechia

$724,826 Vol.

1%

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Cyprus

$1,027,914 Vol.

1%

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Bulgaria

$1,020,991 Vol.

1%

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Germany

$789,736 Vol.

1%

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United Kingdom

$650,766 Vol.

1%

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Croatia

$888,024 Vol.

1%

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Belgium

$1,164,560 Vol.

1%

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Luxembourg

$838,844 Vol.

1%

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Norway

$1,156,256 Vol.

1%

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Serbia

$702,794 Vol.

1%

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Switzerland

$2,122,104 Vol.

1%

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Albania

$1,533,990 Vol.

<1%

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Latvia

$1,390,998 Vol.

<1%

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Moldova

$837,679 Vol.

<1%

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San Marino

$1,717,185 Vol.

<1%

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Azerbaijan

$2,054,857 Vol.

<1%

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Lithuania

$1,176,455 Vol.

<1%

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Poland

$1,445,917 Vol.

<1%

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Austria

$1,476,007 Vol.

<1%

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Estonia

$1,836,092 Vol.

<1%

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Portugal

$1,774,727 Vol.

<1%

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Armenia

$1,618,099 Vol.

<1%

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Georgia

$1,575,984 Vol.

<1%

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Montenegro

$2,099,916 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland holds a commanding 36.1% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by its potent recent track record—including Käärijä's viral runner-up finish with "Cha Cha Cha" in 2023—and anticipation around UMK, Finland's high-energy national selection process known for producing competitive entries. France and Denmark share 11.9% trader consensus, buoyed by their perennial strong showings, sophisticated pop outputs, and jury-televote balance in past contests. With 2026 selections kicking off post-Eurovision 2025 in Switzerland, no confirmed songs or artists yet, but early buzz from artist hints and booking odds has shaped this fragmented field; upcoming national final announcements through early 2026 could spark momentum shifts amid historical Nordic and Western European dominance.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$43,636,326
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland holds a commanding 36.1% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by its potent recent track record—including Käärijä's viral runner-up finish with "Cha Cha Cha" in 2023—and anticipation around UMK, Finland's high-energy national selection process known for producing competitive entries. France and Denmark share 11.9% trader consensus, buoyed by their perennial strong showings, sophisticated pop outputs, and jury-televote balance in past contests. With 2026 selections kicking off post-Eurovision 2025 in Switzerland, no confirmed songs or artists yet, but early buzz from artist hints and booking odds has shaped this fragmented field; upcoming national final announcements through early 2026 could spark momentum shifts amid historical Nordic and Western European dominance.

Finland holds a commanding 36.1% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by its potent recent track record—including Käärijä's viral runner-up finish with "Cha Cha Cha" in 2023—and anticipation around UMK, Finland's high-energy national selection process known for producing competitive entries. France and Denmark share 11.9% trader consensus, buoyed by their perennial strong showings, sophisticated pop outputs, and jury-televote balance in past contests. With 2026 selections kicking off post-Eurovision 2025 in Switzerland, no confirmed songs or artists yet, but early buzz from artist hints and booking odds has shaped this fragmented field; upcoming national final announcements through early 2026 could spark momentum shifts amid historical Nordic and Western European dominance.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Winner 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Finland" at 36%, followed by "France" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Winner 2026" has generated $43.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Winner 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Winner 2026" is "Finland" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Winner 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.