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Eurovision Last Place 2026

Market icon

Eurovision Last Place 2026

Austria 20%

United Kingdom 19%

Germany 12%

Estonia 8%

Polymarket

$30,982 Vol.

Austria 20%

United Kingdom 19%

Germany 12%

Estonia 8%

Polymarket

$30,982 Vol.

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Austria

$5,122 Vol.

20%

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United Kingdom

$660 Vol.

15%

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Germany

$435 Vol.

12%

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Estonia

$314 Vol.

8%

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Cyprus

$262 Vol.

7%

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Azerbaijan

$251 Vol.

7%

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Croatia

$251 Vol.

6%

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Bulgaria

$401 Vol.

6%

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Montenegro

$294 Vol.

6%

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Israel

$486 Vol.

6%

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Norway

$254 Vol.

6%

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Poland

$337 Vol.

6%

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Georgia

$257 Vol.

6%

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Albania

$262 Vol.

6%

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Armenia

$514 Vol.

5%

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Luxembourg

$315 Vol.

5%

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Italy

$251 Vol.

5%

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Australia

$251 Vol.

5%

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San Marino

$357 Vol.

5%

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Greece

$251 Vol.

5%

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Denmark

$312 Vol.

5%

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Malta

$251 Vol.

5%

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Serbia

$251 Vol.

5%

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Belgium

$327 Vol.

4%

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Portugal

$275 Vol.

4%

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Czechia

$420 Vol.

3%

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Romania

$384 Vol.

3%

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France

$476 Vol.

3%

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Ukraine

$644 Vol.

2%

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Latvia

$281 Vol.

7%

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Lithuania

$302 Vol.

7%

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Switzerland

$277 Vol.

8%

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Moldova

$289 Vol.

7%

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Sweden

$363 Vol.

1%

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Finland

$14,603 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader sentiment on the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 last-place market clusters around Austria (20%), the United Kingdom (16%), and Germany (12%), reflecting skepticism over their recent national final winners amid a stacked field favoring Finland and Israel. Austria's host entry "Tanzschein" by Cosmó, selected February 20th via Vienna Calling, draws mixed reactions for its experimental vibe lacking broad appeal, despite closing the grand final on May 16th. The UK's quirky electronic "Eins, Zwei, Drei" by Look Mum No Computer (announced March 6th) evokes nul points fears tied to historical flops, while Germany's pop-rock "Fire" by Sarah Engels faces jury-televote disconnects. Semi-final running orders revealed April 2nd heighten risks for Big Five acts, with rehearsals and previews as key swing factors in this fragmented race.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final.

If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$30,982
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader sentiment on the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 last-place market clusters around Austria (20%), the United Kingdom (16%), and Germany (12%), reflecting skepticism over their recent national final winners amid a stacked field favoring Finland and Israel. Austria's host entry "Tanzschein" by Cosmó, selected February 20th via Vienna Calling, draws mixed reactions for its experimental vibe lacking broad appeal, despite closing the grand final on May 16th. The UK's quirky electronic "Eins, Zwei, Drei" by Look Mum No Computer (announced March 6th) evokes nul points fears tied to historical flops, while Germany's pop-rock "Fire" by Sarah Engels faces jury-televote disconnects. Semi-final running orders revealed April 2nd heighten risks for Big Five acts, with rehearsals and previews as key swing factors in this fragmented race.

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final.

If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$30,982
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 19, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 places last in the final. If no last place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision Last Place 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Austria" at 20%, followed by "United Kingdom" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision Last Place 2026" has generated $31K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision Last Place 2026," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision Last Place 2026" is "Austria" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "United Kingdom" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision Last Place 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.