Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Australia 30%

France 28%

Finland 13%

Denmark 9%

Polymarket

$762,862 Vol.

Australia 30%

France 28%

Finland 13%

Denmark 9%

Polymarket

$762,862 Vol.

Australia

$24,895 Vol.

30%

France

$12,018 Vol.

28%

Finland

$18,559 Vol.

13%

Denmark

$19,649 Vol.

9%

Sweden

$42,593 Vol.

4%

Czechia

$122,055 Vol.

3%

Malta

$92,925 Vol.

2%

Lithuania

$7,045 Vol.

2%

Latvia

$4,864 Vol.

1%

Bulgaria

$34,487 Vol.

1%

Greece

$30,120 Vol.

1%

Italy

$27,709 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$19,752 Vol.

1%

Poland

$44,390 Vol.

1%

Germany

$60,078 Vol.

1%

Ukraine

$4,426 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$8,799 Vol.

1%

Moldova

$24,587 Vol.

1%

Montenegro

$13,617 Vol.

1%

Serbia

$19,983 Vol.

1%

Austria

$44,878 Vol.

1%

Israel

$14,966 Vol.

1%

Portugal

$4,358 Vol.

1%

Romania

$5,951 Vol.

1%

Albania

$5,442 Vol.

1%

United Kingdom

$18,031 Vol.

1%

San Marino

$4,268 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$4,033 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$3,883 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$4,055 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$3,956 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$3,880 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$4,371 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$4,198 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$4,042 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") and France (Monroe's "Regarde!") as near-deadlocked frontrunners for the Eurovision 2026 jury vote, with implied probabilities of 29.5% and 28%, driven by their polished ballads showcasing vocal prowess and artistry that juries historically reward over televote pop anthems. Recent catalysts include Australia's March 1 music video release and France's first live performance last week, both earning praise for sophisticated staging and delivery, while Finland's violin-infused "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen (12.5%) holds third after its late-February UMK win. Denmark (8.5%) trails amid competitive national selection momentum, but upcoming rehearsals and previews could shift dynamics ahead of Vienna's May grand final.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$762,862
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") and France (Monroe's "Regarde!") as near-deadlocked frontrunners for the Eurovision 2026 jury vote, with implied probabilities of 29.5% and 28%, driven by their polished ballads showcasing vocal prowess and artistry that juries historically reward over televote pop anthems. Recent catalysts include Australia's March 1 music video release and France's first live performance last week, both earning praise for sophisticated staging and delivery, while Finland's violin-infused "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen (12.5%) holds third after its late-February UMK win. Denmark (8.5%) trails amid competitive national selection momentum, but upcoming rehearsals and previews could shift dynamics ahead of Vienna's May grand final.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$762,862
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 30%, followed by "France" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" has generated $762.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is "Australia" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.