Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Australia 33%

France 28%

Finland 13%

Denmark 9%

Polymarket

$597,257 Vol.

Australia 33%

France 28%

Finland 13%

Denmark 9%

Polymarket

$597,257 Vol.

Australia

$9,684 Vol.

33%

France

$9,480 Vol.

28%

Finland

$9,627 Vol.

13%

Denmark

$17,095 Vol.

9%

Czechia

$120,263 Vol.

2%

Sweden

$27,460 Vol.

2%

Malta

$91,781 Vol.

2%

Ukraine

$3,307 Vol.

1%

Latvia

$3,650 Vol.

1%

Israel

$13,856 Vol.

1%

Italy

$3,757 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$7,157 Vol.

1%

Greece

$28,992 Vol.

1%

Serbia

$18,830 Vol.

1%

Bulgaria

$10,930 Vol.

1%

Germany

$57,824 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$18,732 Vol.

1%

United Kingdom

$16,270 Vol.

1%

Austria

$43,787 Vol.

1%

Moldova

$23,333 Vol.

1%

Montenegro

$12,529 Vol.

1%

Portugal

$3,270 Vol.

1%

Albania

$3,345 Vol.

1%

Georgia

$2,823 Vol.

<1%

Poland

$11,175 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$3,099 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$3,090 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$2,982 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$2,933 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$2,829 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$2,600 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$2,592 Vol.

<1%

Romania

$2,729 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$2,653 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$2,791 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus favors Australia at 32.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner, closely trailed by France at 27.5%, reflecting strong jury appeal from their recent national selection reveals. Delta Goodrem's polished ballad "Eclipse," unveiled March 1, leverages her established pop pedigree and sophisticated production—hallmarks of past jury favorites like Australia's 2014 entry—catapulting it into frontrunner status amid online buzz and betting shifts. France's Monroe, a 17-year-old soprano sensation with dramatic "Regarde!" announced March 6, echoes operatic elements that juries historically reward, as in recent French successes. Finland (12%) and Denmark (8.5%) contend with high-energy rock entries from UMK and Melodi Grand Prix winners, but lack the duo's vocal firepower. With previews and rehearsals looming before Vienna's May finals, staging execution and live polish could swing the closely matched dynamics.

Trader consensus favors Australia at 32.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner, closely trailed by France at 27.5%, reflecting strong jury appeal from their recent national selection reveals. Delta Goodrem's polished ballad "Eclipse," unveiled March 1, leverages her established pop pedigree and sophisticated production—hallmarks of past jury favorites like Australia's 2014 entry—catapulting it into frontrunner status amid online buzz and betting shifts. France's Monroe, a 17-year-old soprano sensation with dramatic "Regarde!" announced March 6, echoes operatic elements that juries historically reward, as in recent French successes. Finland (12%) and Denmark (8.5%) contend with high-energy rock entries from UMK and Melodi Grand Prix winners, but lack the duo's vocal firepower. With previews and rehearsals looming before Vienna's May finals, staging execution and live polish could swing the closely matched dynamics.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus favors Australia at 32.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner, closely trailed by France at 27.5%, reflecting strong jury appeal from their recent national selection reveals. Delta Goodrem's polished ballad "Eclipse," unveiled March 1, leverages her established pop pedigree and sophisticated production—hallmarks of past jury favorites like Australia's 2014 entry—catapulting it into frontrunner status amid online buzz and betting shifts. France's Monroe, a 17-year-old soprano sensation with dramatic "Regarde!" announced March 6, echoes operatic elements that juries historically reward, as in recent French successes. Finland (12%) and Denmark (8.5%) contend with high-energy rock entries from UMK and Melodi Grand Prix winners, but lack the duo's vocal firepower. With previews and rehearsals looming before Vienna's May finals, staging execution and live polish could swing the closely matched dynamics.

Trader consensus favors Australia at 32.5% implied probability for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner, closely trailed by France at 27.5%, reflecting strong jury appeal from their recent national selection reveals. Delta Goodrem's polished ballad "Eclipse," unveiled March 1, leverages her established pop pedigree and sophisticated production—hallmarks of past jury favorites like Australia's 2014 entry—catapulting it into frontrunner status amid online buzz and betting shifts. France's Monroe, a 17-year-old soprano sensation with dramatic "Regarde!" announced March 6, echoes operatic elements that juries historically reward, as in recent French successes. Finland (12%) and Denmark (8.5%) contend with high-energy rock entries from UMK and Melodi Grand Prix winners, but lack the duo's vocal firepower. With previews and rehearsals looming before Vienna's May finals, staging execution and live polish could swing the closely matched dynamics.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 33%, followed by "France" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" has generated $597.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is "Australia" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.