Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Australia 32%

France 26%

Finland 13%

Denmark 10%

Polymarket

$544,467 Vol.

Australia 32%

France 26%

Finland 13%

Denmark 10%

Polymarket

$544,467 Vol.

Australia

$8,009 Vol.

32%

France

$8,650 Vol.

26%

Finland

$8,613 Vol.

13%

Denmark

$16,796 Vol.

10%

Czechia

$119,967 Vol.

2%

Malta

$91,622 Vol.

2%

Sweden

$27,363 Vol.

2%

Israel

$5,279 Vol.

1%

Ukraine

$3,222 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$7,071 Vol.

1%

Italy

$3,458 Vol.

1%

Bulgaria

$7,561 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$4,050 Vol.

1%

Latvia

$2,667 Vol.

1%

Greece

$27,945 Vol.

1%

Germany

$57,330 Vol.

1%

United Kingdom

$16,165 Vol.

1%

Serbia

$3,479 Vol.

1%

Austria

$41,704 Vol.

1%

Moldova

$23,258 Vol.

1%

Montenegro

$12,454 Vol.

1%

Portugal

$3,185 Vol.

1%

Albania

$3,253 Vol.

1%

Georgia

$2,747 Vol.

<1%

Poland

$11,100 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$3,023 Vol.

<1%

Romania

$2,653 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$2,716 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$2,897 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$2,848 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$2,754 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$2,524 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$2,516 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$2,577 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$3,015 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the slim frontrunner for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner at 32% implied probability, edging out France at 26%, with Finland (14.5%) and Denmark (10%) as credible challengers in a fragmented field. This reflects Australia's consistent jury appeal through polished, English-language entries that resonate with professional voters—evident in their top-five jury finishes in three of the last five contests—while France benefits from sophisticated chanson-style submissions that topped juries in 2025. Finland and Denmark gain from recent Nordic momentum in precursor national selections and strong 2025 semi-final jury scores. With national finals kicking off in January 2026, song quality and artist pedigree will be key differentiators amid high uncertainty, as juries prioritize composition over televote flash.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$544,467
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the slim frontrunner for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner at 32% implied probability, edging out France at 26%, with Finland (14.5%) and Denmark (10%) as credible challengers in a fragmented field. This reflects Australia's consistent jury appeal through polished, English-language entries that resonate with professional voters—evident in their top-five jury finishes in three of the last five contests—while France benefits from sophisticated chanson-style submissions that topped juries in 2025. Finland and Denmark gain from recent Nordic momentum in precursor national selections and strong 2025 semi-final jury scores. With national finals kicking off in January 2026, song quality and artist pedigree will be key differentiators amid high uncertainty, as juries prioritize composition over televote flash.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the slim frontrunner for the Eurovision 2026 jury winner at 32% implied probability, edging out France at 26%, with Finland (14.5%) and Denmark (10%) as credible challengers in a fragmented field. This reflects Australia's consistent jury appeal through polished, English-language entries that resonate with professional voters—evident in their top-five jury finishes in three of the last five contests—while France benefits from sophisticated chanson-style submissions that topped juries in 2025. Finland and Denmark gain from recent Nordic momentum in precursor national selections and strong 2025 semi-final jury scores. With national finals kicking off in January 2026, song quality and artist pedigree will be key differentiators amid high uncertainty, as juries prioritize composition over televote flash.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

66%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

89%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?

82%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 32%, followed by "France" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" has generated $544.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is "Australia" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.