Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Australia 35%

France 29%

Finland 9%

Denmark 9%

Polymarket

$552,439 Vol.

Australia 35%

France 29%

Finland 9%

Denmark 9%

Polymarket

$552,439 Vol.

Australia

$9,120 Vol.

35%

France

$9,189 Vol.

29%

Finland

$8,686 Vol.

9%

Denmark

$16,796 Vol.

9%

Czechia

$119,997 Vol.

2%

Sweden

$27,385 Vol.

2%

Malta

$91,706 Vol.

2%

Israel

$6,930 Vol.

2%

Ukraine

$3,232 Vol.

1%

Greece

$28,917 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$7,081 Vol.

1%

Latvia

$3,444 Vol.

1%

Italy

$3,681 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$4,050 Vol.

1%

Bulgaria

$7,571 Vol.

1%

Germany

$57,698 Vol.

1%

United Kingdom

$16,195 Vol.

1%

Serbia

$3,479 Vol.

1%

Austria

$43,717 Vol.

1%

Moldova

$23,258 Vol.

1%

Montenegro

$12,454 Vol.

1%

Portugal

$3,195 Vol.

1%

Albania

$3,269 Vol.

1%

Georgia

$2,747 Vol.

<1%

Poland

$11,100 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$3,023 Vol.

<1%

Romania

$2,653 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$3,015 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$2,907 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$2,858 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$2,754 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$2,524 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$2,516 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$2,577 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$2,716 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") as the narrow jury frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, edging France (Monroe's "Regarde!") at 29%, driven by their polished pop entries and established artist pedigrees that historically appeal to professional juries favoring sophistication over spectacle. Recent national final victories—Australia's SBS selection and France's strong jury backing last week—sparked this tight lead, with Finland (Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen's violin-driven track) and Denmark surging to 9% each on instrumental flair and Nordic voting bloc strength. Finland/Denmark could challenge if previews amplify their classical edges, but upcoming semi-final allocations (May 12/14) and rehearsal buzz ahead of Vienna's May 16 final remain key swing factors in this volatile early market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") as the narrow jury frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, edging France (Monroe's "Regarde!") at 29%, driven by their polished pop entries and established artist pedigrees that historically appeal to professional juries favoring sophistication over spectacle. Recent national final victories—Australia's SBS selection and France's strong jury backing last week—sparked this tight lead, with Finland (Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen's violin-driven track) and Denmark surging to 9% each on instrumental flair and Nordic voting bloc strength. Finland/Denmark could challenge if previews amplify their classical edges, but upcoming semi-final allocations (May 12/14) and rehearsal buzz ahead of Vienna's May 16 final remain key swing factors in this volatile early market.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") as the narrow jury frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, edging France (Monroe's "Regarde!") at 29%, driven by their polished pop entries and established artist pedigrees that historically appeal to professional juries favoring sophistication over spectacle. Recent national final victories—Australia's SBS selection and France's strong jury backing last week—sparked this tight lead, with Finland (Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen's violin-driven track) and Denmark surging to 9% each on instrumental flair and Nordic voting bloc strength. Finland/Denmark could challenge if previews amplify their classical edges, but upcoming semi-final allocations (May 12/14) and rehearsal buzz ahead of Vienna's May 16 final remain key swing factors in this volatile early market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia (Delta Goodrem's "Eclipse") as the narrow jury frontrunner at 34.5% implied probability, edging France (Monroe's "Regarde!") at 29%, driven by their polished pop entries and established artist pedigrees that historically appeal to professional juries favoring sophistication over spectacle. Recent national final victories—Australia's SBS selection and France's strong jury backing last week—sparked this tight lead, with Finland (Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen's violin-driven track) and Denmark surging to 9% each on instrumental flair and Nordic voting bloc strength. Finland/Denmark could challenge if previews amplify their classical edges, but upcoming semi-final allocations (May 12/14) and rehearsal buzz ahead of Vienna's May 16 final remain key swing factors in this volatile early market.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 35%, followed by "France" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" has generated $552.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is "Australia" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.