Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Australia 33%

France 30%

Finland 11%

Denmark 10%

Polymarket

$548,838 Vol.

Australia 33%

France 30%

Finland 11%

Denmark 10%

Polymarket

$548,838 Vol.

Australia

$8,112 Vol.

33%

France

$8,959 Vol.

30%

Finland

$8,686 Vol.

11%

Denmark

$16,796 Vol.

10%

Czechia

$119,967 Vol.

2%

Malta

$91,622 Vol.

2%

Italy

$3,661 Vol.

2%

Sweden

$27,363 Vol.

2%

Israel

$6,894 Vol.

2%

Ukraine

$3,222 Vol.

1%

Greece

$28,877 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$7,071 Vol.

1%

Latvia

$3,444 Vol.

1%

Bulgaria

$7,561 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$4,050 Vol.

1%

Germany

$57,688 Vol.

1%

United Kingdom

$16,165 Vol.

1%

Serbia

$3,479 Vol.

1%

Austria

$41,704 Vol.

1%

Moldova

$23,258 Vol.

1%

Montenegro

$12,454 Vol.

1%

Portugal

$3,185 Vol.

1%

Albania

$3,253 Vol.

1%

Georgia

$2,747 Vol.

<1%

Poland

$11,100 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$3,023 Vol.

<1%

Romania

$2,653 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$3,015 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$2,897 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$2,848 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$2,754 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$2,524 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$2,516 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$2,577 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$2,716 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia and France dominate the Eurovision 2026 Jury Winner market with tightly matched implied probabilities of 32% and 29.5%, capturing trader consensus on their proven jury magnetism despite no entries announced. Australia's edge stems from consistent top jury scores since 2015—thanks to sleek pop ballads and professional staging—while France leverages Big Five resources for refined chanson-style contenders that juries historically reward. Finland (11.5%) and Denmark (9.5%) follow, fueled by Nordic melodic expertise, but face stiff competition. Absent recent developments, with national selections kicking off late 2025, swings depend on song quality, artist pedigree, and alignment with jury tastes for sophisticated, emotive tracks; 2025's Basel results could indirectly shape hosting buzz and momentum.

Australia and France dominate the Eurovision 2026 Jury Winner market with tightly matched implied probabilities of 32% and 29.5%, capturing trader consensus on their proven jury magnetism despite no entries announced. Australia's edge stems from consistent top jury scores since 2015—thanks to sleek pop ballads and professional staging—while France leverages Big Five resources for refined chanson-style contenders that juries historically reward. Finland (11.5%) and Denmark (9.5%) follow, fueled by Nordic melodic expertise, but face stiff competition. Absent recent developments, with national selections kicking off late 2025, swings depend on song quality, artist pedigree, and alignment with jury tastes for sophisticated, emotive tracks; 2025's Basel results could indirectly shape hosting buzz and momentum.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Australia and France dominate the Eurovision 2026 Jury Winner market with tightly matched implied probabilities of 32% and 29.5%, capturing trader consensus on their proven jury magnetism despite no entries announced. Australia's edge stems from consistent top jury scores since 2015—thanks to sleek pop ballads and professional staging—while France leverages Big Five resources for refined chanson-style contenders that juries historically reward. Finland (11.5%) and Denmark (9.5%) follow, fueled by Nordic melodic expertise, but face stiff competition. Absent recent developments, with national selections kicking off late 2025, swings depend on song quality, artist pedigree, and alignment with jury tastes for sophisticated, emotive tracks; 2025's Basel results could indirectly shape hosting buzz and momentum.

Australia and France dominate the Eurovision 2026 Jury Winner market with tightly matched implied probabilities of 32% and 29.5%, capturing trader consensus on their proven jury magnetism despite no entries announced. Australia's edge stems from consistent top jury scores since 2015—thanks to sleek pop ballads and professional staging—while France leverages Big Five resources for refined chanson-style contenders that juries historically reward. Finland (11.5%) and Denmark (9.5%) follow, fueled by Nordic melodic expertise, but face stiff competition. Absent recent developments, with national selections kicking off late 2025, swings depend on song quality, artist pedigree, and alignment with jury tastes for sophisticated, emotive tracks; 2025's Basel results could indirectly shape hosting buzz and momentum.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Austria come in last place at Eurovision 2026?

22%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

65%
Market icon

Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

90%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 33%, followed by "France" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" has generated $548.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is "Australia" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.