Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner

Australia 32%

France 24%

Finland 16%

Denmark 10%

Polymarket

$509,412 Vol.

Australia 32%

France 24%

Finland 16%

Denmark 10%

Polymarket

$509,412 Vol.

Australia

$7,912 Vol.

32%

France

$7,506 Vol.

24%

Finland

$8,525 Vol.

16%

Denmark

$16,689 Vol.

10%

Czechia

$119,890 Vol.

2%

Malta

$91,434 Vol.

2%

Sweden

$27,286 Vol.

2%

Ukraine

$3,145 Vol.

2%

Israel

$3,546 Vol.

1%

Croatia

$6,994 Vol.

1%

Bulgaria

$7,484 Vol.

1%

Latvia

$2,590 Vol.

1%

Germany

$57,253 Vol.

1%

Italy

$2,999 Vol.

1%

Austria

$41,627 Vol.

1%

Moldova

$21,859 Vol.

1%

Montenegro

$12,278 Vol.

1%

Portugal

$3,108 Vol.

1%

Greece

$2,568 Vol.

1%

United Kingdom

$15,260 Vol.

1%

Cyprus

$2,879 Vol.

<1%

Serbia

$3,281 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$2,590 Vol.

<1%

Poland

$11,022 Vol.

<1%

Albania

$3,136 Vol.

<1%

San Marino

$2,946 Vol.

<1%

Azerbaijan

$2,820 Vol.

<1%

Armenia

$2,770 Vol.

<1%

Estonia

$2,677 Vol.

<1%

Lithuania

$2,407 Vol.

<1%

Luxembourg

$2,439 Vol.

<1%

Romania

$2,536 Vol.

<1%

Switzerland

$2,500 Vol.

<1%

Belgium

$2,858 Vol.

<1%

Norway

$2,598 Vol.

<1%

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the slim jury frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, buoyed by its track record of jury appeal through polished productions and charismatic performers like past entries from Sheldon Riley and Electric Fields, which consistently ranked top-10 with juries despite televote variance. France trails closely at 24.5%, leveraging its tradition of sophisticated ballads that resonated in 2024 with Slimane's strong fourth-place jury score, while Finland (15.5%) and Denmark (10.0%) draw from Nordic bloc voting strength and recent successes like Käärijä's runner-up jury finish. With national selections still over a year away post-2025 Basel contest, dynamics hinge on emerging artist buzz, song quality favoring juries' preference for originality over pop anthems, and historical patterns where Australia excels in diverse juries—though upsets remain likely amid fluid early betting.

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026.

This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026.

All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$509,412
End Date
May 16, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the professional juries in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the slim jury frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, buoyed by its track record of jury appeal through polished productions and charismatic performers like past entries from Sheldon Riley and Electric Fields, which consistently ranked top-10 with juries despite televote variance. France trails closely at 24.5%, leveraging its tradition of sophisticated ballads that resonated in 2024 with Slimane's strong fourth-place jury score, while Finland (15.5%) and Denmark (10.0%) draw from Nordic bloc voting strength and recent successes like Käärijä's runner-up jury finish. With national selections still over a year away post-2025 Basel contest, dynamics hinge on emerging artist buzz, song quality favoring juries' preference for originality over pop anthems, and historical patterns where Australia excels in diverse juries—though upsets remain likely amid fluid early betting.

Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Australia as the slim jury frontrunner at 31.5% implied probability for Eurovision 2026, buoyed by its track record of jury appeal through polished productions and charismatic performers like past entries from Sheldon Riley and Electric Fields, which consistently ranked top-10 with juries despite televote variance. France trails closely at 24.5%, leveraging its tradition of sophisticated ballads that resonated in 2024 with Slimane's strong fourth-place jury score, while Finland (15.5%) and Denmark (10.0%) draw from Nordic bloc voting strength and recent successes like Käärijä's runner-up jury finish. With national selections still over a year away post-2025 Basel contest, dynamics hinge on emerging artist buzz, song quality favoring juries' preference for originality over pop anthems, and historical patterns where Australia excels in diverse juries—though upsets remain likely amid fluid early betting.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Australia" at 32%, followed by "France" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" has generated $509.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" is "Australia" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "France" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eurovision 2026: Jury Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.