Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$62,435,994 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 15%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$62,435,994 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$788,951 Vol.

15%

Bryson Dechambeau

$229,296 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$443,121 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$190,551 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$366,907 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,412,236 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,369,119 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,757,510 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$398,278 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$267,348 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$304,811 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$400,951 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,810,339 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$325,735 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$214,521 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$198,016 Vol.

2%

Russell Henley

$822,772 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$308,013 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,993,779 Vol.

2%

Shane Lowry

$6,626,023 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,060,303 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$295,247 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$697,740 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$233,709 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$163,642 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,624,892 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$226,951 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,271,012 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$203,886 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,767,759 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$241,215 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$154,362 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$145,757 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$138,306 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$162,614 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$220,802 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$287,689 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$442,618 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$153,864 Vol.

<1%

Keegan Bradley

$336,266 Vol.

<1%

Will Zalatoris

$283,284 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$629,287 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$314,242 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$291,828 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$507,485 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$389,465 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$474,639 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$219,134 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$250,206 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$382,633 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$674,142 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$821,181 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$458,541 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$845,206 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$650,448 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$267,381 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$654,768 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$842,340 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$427,850 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's elite Augusta National course history—two green jackets (2022, 2024) and no finish outside the top 20 in six starts—anchors trader consensus at 15% implied probability, bolstered by his world No. 1 status and strong par-5 scoring despite a recent mini-slump and Houston Open withdrawal for rest. Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV Golf triumphs, including a playoff win over Jon Rahm, fuel his 7.5% share amid improved irons play, while Rahm (7.4%) leverages consistent major contention and LIV form. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyes a repeat post-2025 grand slam completion, but lingering back concerns add uncertainty. A deep 88-player field with rising stars like Ludvig Aberg keeps probabilities bunched, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this precision-driven major where scrambling and approach play dominate.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,435,994
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's elite Augusta National course history—two green jackets (2022, 2024) and no finish outside the top 20 in six starts—anchors trader consensus at 15% implied probability, bolstered by his world No. 1 status and strong par-5 scoring despite a recent mini-slump and Houston Open withdrawal for rest. Bryson DeChambeau's back-to-back LIV Golf triumphs, including a playoff win over Jon Rahm, fuel his 7.5% share amid improved irons play, while Rahm (7.4%) leverages consistent major contention and LIV form. Defending champion Rory McIlroy (6.5%) eyes a repeat post-2025 grand slam completion, but lingering back concerns add uncertainty. A deep 88-player field with rising stars like Ludvig Aberg keeps probabilities bunched, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this precision-driven major where scrambling and approach play dominate.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,435,994
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 15%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $62.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.