Trader consensus reflects a razor-tight race at the Texas Children's Houston Open, with Davis Riley (41.4%), Brice Garnett (40.6%), and Luke Clanton (40.2%) clustered as co-favorites after strong opening rounds on the renovated Memorial Park Golf Course, where firm greens and prevalent winds demand elite ball-striking and short-game precision. Recent Round 2 birdie barrages from these mid-tier contenders—bolstered by Riley's top-10 strokes gained approach play, Garnett's hot putter, and Clanton's amateur poise—have vaulted them ahead of big names like Jason Day (7.8%) and Min Woo Lee (18.9%), who faltered with inconsistent irons. With two rounds left, rest advantages minimal and cut-line pressure off for leaders, the wisdom of crowds prices high volatility amid potential weekend surges from chasers like Matthieu Pavon and Emiliano Grillo.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMin Woo Lee 18.9%
Nicolai Hojgaard 15.0%
Jason Day 7.6%
Austin Eckroat 5.4%
$457,271 Vol.
$457,271 Vol.
Min Woo Lee
19%
Nicolai Hojgaard
15%
Jason Day
8%
Austin Eckroat
5%
Tom Kim
5%
Bronson Burgoon
3%
Stephan Jaeger
2%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
2%
Ze-Cheng Dou
2%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Sam Burns
2%
Tony Finau
2%
Jake Knapp
2%
Harris English
2%
Ricky Castillo
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Ben Griffin
2%
Harry Hall
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Denny McCarthy
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Rico Hoey
<1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
Mac Meissner
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Davis Riley
-
Kevin Roy
-
Takumi Kanaya
-
Jeffrey Kang
-
Chris Kirk
-
Henry Lebioda
-
William Mouw
-
Pontus Nyholm
38%
John Parry
33%
Matthieu Pavon
-
Luke Clanton
-
Eric Cole
-
Steven Fisk
-
Brice Garnett
-
Emiliano Grillo
-
Lee Hodges
-
Beau Hossler
-
Min Woo Lee 18.9%
Nicolai Hojgaard 15.0%
Jason Day 7.6%
Austin Eckroat 5.4%
$457,271 Vol.
$457,271 Vol.
Min Woo Lee
19%
Nicolai Hojgaard
15%
Jason Day
8%
Austin Eckroat
5%
Tom Kim
5%
Bronson Burgoon
3%
Stephan Jaeger
2%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
2%
Ze-Cheng Dou
2%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Sam Burns
2%
Tony Finau
2%
Jake Knapp
2%
Harris English
2%
Ricky Castillo
2%
Chris Gotterup
2%
Ben Griffin
2%
Harry Hall
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Denny McCarthy
1%
Kurt Kitayama
1%
Shane Lowry
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Rico Hoey
<1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
Mac Meissner
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Sung-Jae Im
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Tom Hoge
<1%
Davis Riley
-
Kevin Roy
-
Takumi Kanaya
-
Jeffrey Kang
-
Chris Kirk
-
Henry Lebioda
-
William Mouw
-
Pontus Nyholm
38%
John Parry
33%
Matthieu Pavon
-
Luke Clanton
-
Eric Cole
-
Steven Fisk
-
Brice Garnett
-
Emiliano Grillo
-
Lee Hodges
-
Beau Hossler
-
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 12:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Texas Children's Houston Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by April 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects a razor-tight race at the Texas Children's Houston Open, with Davis Riley (41.4%), Brice Garnett (40.6%), and Luke Clanton (40.2%) clustered as co-favorites after strong opening rounds on the renovated Memorial Park Golf Course, where firm greens and prevalent winds demand elite ball-striking and short-game precision. Recent Round 2 birdie barrages from these mid-tier contenders—bolstered by Riley's top-10 strokes gained approach play, Garnett's hot putter, and Clanton's amateur poise—have vaulted them ahead of big names like Jason Day (7.8%) and Min Woo Lee (18.9%), who faltered with inconsistent irons. With two rounds left, rest advantages minimal and cut-line pressure off for leaders, the wisdom of crowds prices high volatility amid potential weekend surges from chasers like Matthieu Pavon and Emiliano Grillo.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions