Name: #1 Searched TV Show on Google this year?
Start: 2025-10-22T21:33:43.756753Z
End: 2025-12-31T00:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve according to the television show ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search list for 2025, published on Google’s Year in Search hub.

The authoritative location is trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search (navigate: Global → Entertainment → TV Shows), where the 2025 page will appear once released (as the 2024 page currently shows the Global “TV Shows” ranking).

If a search term clearly refers to the term listed by Google (for example, through season specification), it will count toward that listed term.

This market may resolve as soon as the official 2025 data is released for the specified timeframe. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 in the respective list or if Google does not release the 2025 Year in Search by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Squid Game

Severance

The Bear

Only Murders in the Building

The Night Agent

Andor

Yellowjackets

Bridgerton

The White Lotus

House of the Dragon

Other

The Last of Us

Wednesday

#1 Searched TV Show on Google this year?

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, December 23, 2025, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix show.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by December 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Will "Man Vs Baby" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

This market will resolve to the movie with the third highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available.

Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

This market will resolve to the movie with the second highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available.

Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.

Years will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.

If 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.

This market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Google (GOOGL) on the final trading day of 2025.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices."

Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295–310 in 2025?

The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed series that wins Best Television Limited Series, Anthology Series, or Motion Picture Made for Television at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed series whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Adolescence win Best Television Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?

The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed series that wins Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed series whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

This market will resolve according to the female name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/.

The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.

This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2025 shows the second greatest increase of any previously recorded year when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly which is the second greatest of any previously recorded year for 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for 2024 and/or 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2025 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for December 2025 versus the data points available for all other Decembers on record.

Note: If December 2025 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Dec" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for December 2025 is provided by NASA by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Will December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed series that wins Best Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed series whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will The Studio win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?

The winners of the Steam Award for 2025 will be chosen by community vote. Results will be announced on December 31, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Steam, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed show that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Comedy Series. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated show whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will The Studio win Best Comedy Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any previously recorded year when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly greater than that of any previously recorded year for 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for 2024 and/or 2025 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)" under the column "No_Smoothing" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2025 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed show that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Drama Series. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated show whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will The Pitt win Best Drama Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no nominations are announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will "Sinners" be nominated for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If a listed modeI ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.


Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?

The winner of IGN's Game of the Year award will be chosen by the iGN content team. Results will be announced on December 19, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the game which wins Game of the Year in the 2025 IGN Awards.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the game whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from IGN, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win IGN's Game of the Year award?

The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Noah Wyle (The Pitt) win Best Actor – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no nominations are announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Leonardo DiCaprio be nominated for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

The Golden Globe Awards are presented annually by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA). For the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards, nominations are scheduled for December 8, 2025, and the ceremony for January 11, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best Actor in a Television Series – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Annual Golden Globe Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the Golden Globe Awards and the official Golden Globes website (https://www.goldenglobes.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Seth Rogen (The Studio) win Best Actor – Television Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?

This market will resolve according to the listed songs within the Billboard Hot 100’s Top 10 for the week titled “week of January 3, 2026”.

Only the listed songs within spots numbered 1 through 10 (inclusive) will qualify towards the resolution of this market.

The resolution source will be Billboard.com.

Will It's The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year - Andy Williams be in the Billboard Top 10 for the week of January 3, 2026?

The HLTV awards are scheduled to be held on January 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Team of the Year award. 

If for any reason no winner is declared by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary source of resolution for this market will be official information from HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

#1 Searched TV Show on Google this year?

Squid Game
$67,925 Vol.
No

Severance
$27,449 Vol.
No

The Bear
$75,975 Vol.
No

Only Murders in the Building
$22,874 Vol.
No

The Night Agent
$39,573 Vol.
No

Andor
$20,305 Vol.
No

Yellowjackets
$23,465 Vol.
No

Bridgerton
$48,731 Vol.
No

The White Lotus
$25,518 Vol.
No

House of the Dragon
$48,684 Vol.
No

Other
$0 Vol.
Yes

The Last of Us
$6,806 Vol.
No

Wednesday
$11,398 Vol.
No

Market Context

#1 Searched TV Show on Google this year?

Rules

#1 Searched TV Show on Google this year?

Market Context

#1 Searched TV Show on Google this year?

About

Related

#1 Searched TV Show on Google this year?

Squid Game$67,925 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Severance$27,449 Vol.Nocircle xmark

The Bear$75,975 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Only Murders in the Building$22,874 Vol.Nocircle xmark

The Night Agent$39,573 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Andor$20,305 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Yellowjackets$23,465 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Bridgerton$48,731 Vol.Nocircle xmark

The White Lotus$25,518 Vol.Nocircle xmark

House of the Dragon$48,684 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Other$0 Vol.Yescircle check

The Last of Us$6,806 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Wednesday$11,398 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

#1 Searched TV Show on Google this year?

Rules

#1 Searched TV Show on Google this year?

Market Context

#1 Searched TV Show on Google this year?

About

Related

Squid Game
$67,925 Vol.
No

Severance
$27,449 Vol.
No

The Bear
$75,975 Vol.
No

Only Murders in the Building
$22,874 Vol.
No

The Night Agent
$39,573 Vol.
No

Andor
$20,305 Vol.
No

Yellowjackets
$23,465 Vol.
No

Bridgerton
$48,731 Vol.
No

The White Lotus
$25,518 Vol.
No

House of the Dragon
$48,684 Vol.
No

Other
$0 Vol.
Yes

The Last of Us
$6,806 Vol.
No

Wednesday
$11,398 Vol.
No