Ukrainian forces have reclaimed ground northwest of Hulyaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, including areas near Vozdvyzhivka and Rizdvyanka, as confirmed by geolocated footage published March 24-26, constraining Russian advances along this frontline sector. Russian troops continued assaults toward Vozdvyzhivka on March 27 without reported gains, amid intensified ground attacks across the theater following Moscow's spring offensive launch around March 21. These local Ukrainian counter-moves highlight defensive resilience and high costs of incremental Russian progress in contested terrain. Traders weigh ongoing clashes, artillery duels, and potential reinforcements, with no major diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations signaled recently to alter the stalemated dynamics before the market's resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Rusia entrará en Vozdvyzhivka el...?
¿Rusia entrará en Vozdvyzhivka el...?
$98,196 Vol.
31 de marzo
7%
30 de abril
32%
$98,196 Vol.
31 de marzo
7%
30 de abril
32%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Vozdvyzhivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Feb 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of Vozdvyzhivka is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces have reclaimed ground northwest of Hulyaipole in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, including areas near Vozdvyzhivka and Rizdvyanka, as confirmed by geolocated footage published March 24-26, constraining Russian advances along this frontline sector. Russian troops continued assaults toward Vozdvyzhivka on March 27 without reported gains, amid intensified ground attacks across the theater following Moscow's spring offensive launch around March 21. These local Ukrainian counter-moves highlight defensive resilience and high costs of incremental Russian progress in contested terrain. Traders weigh ongoing clashes, artillery duels, and potential reinforcements, with no major diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations signaled recently to alter the stalemated dynamics before the market's resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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