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Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

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Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$21,241 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$21,241 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de marzo

$13,292 Vol.

13%

30 de abril

$7,949 Vol.

47%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.JD Vance, as Vice President-elect, has not engaged Iranian negotiators amid ongoing US-Iran tensions escalated by Iran's October 2024 missile attacks on Israel and Israel's retaliatory strikes on Iranian military sites. The incoming Trump administration emphasizes "maximum pressure" through sanctions while expressing openness to direct nuclear talks if Tehran abandons its program and proxy support, differing from Biden's indirect Vienna negotiations. No public reports or official statements indicate scheduled Vance-Iran contacts pre-inauguration on January 20, 2025, with diplomacy typically led by the State Department or president. Traders monitor transition announcements, potential backchannels via Oman or Qatar, and Middle East flashpoints that could prompt or preclude such meetings.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government.

A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$21,241
Fecha de finalización
Apr 30, 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance talks with at least one Iranian negotiator by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Qualifying Iranian negotiators are representatives of Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their government. A talk is defined as any interaction between JD Vance and an Iranian negotiator, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.JD Vance, as Vice President-elect, has not engaged Iranian negotiators amid ongoing US-Iran tensions escalated by Iran's October 2024 missile attacks on Israel and Israel's retaliatory strikes on Iranian military sites. The incoming Trump administration emphasizes "maximum pressure" through sanctions while expressing openness to direct nuclear talks if Tehran abandons its program and proxy support, differing from Biden's indirect Vienna negotiations. No public reports or official statements indicate scheduled Vance-Iran contacts pre-inauguration on January 20, 2025, with diplomacy typically led by the State Department or president. Traders monitor transition announcements, potential backchannels via Oman or Qatar, and Middle East flashpoints that could prompt or preclude such meetings.

JD Vance, as Vice President-elect, has not engaged Iranian negotiators amid ongoing US-Iran tensions escalated by Iran's October 2024 missile attacks on Israel and Israel's retaliatory strikes on Iranian military sites. The incoming Trump administration emphasizes "maximum pressure" through sanctions while expressing openness to direct nuclear talks if Tehran abandons its program and proxy support, differing from Biden's indirect Vienna negotiations. No public reports or official statements indicate scheduled Vance-Iran contacts pre-inauguration on January 20, 2025, with diplomacy typically led by the State Department or president. Traders monitor transition announcements, potential backchannels via Oman or Qatar, and Middle East flashpoints that could prompt or preclude such meetings.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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Preguntas frecuentes

"Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de abril" con 47%, seguido de "31 de marzo" con 13%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 47¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?" ha generado $21.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Mar 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?" es "30 de abril" con 47%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de marzo" con 13%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.