Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features a crowded field of 17 candidates for an open seat, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited. Democrat Tom Begich leads recent polling averages in the low 20s, ahead of Republicans Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, and Dave Bronson, while several other GOP contenders split the remaining vote. The top four vote-getters advance regardless of party affiliation to the ranked-choice general election on November 3. Early voting is underway, and no major late developments have shifted the field. Trader consensus reflects polling trends showing Begich favored to advance alongside multiple Republicans, with the outcome hinging on turnout and vote consolidation among the fragmented GOP slate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$246,707 Vol.

Tom Begich
98%

Bernadette Wilson
94%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
79%

Dave Bronson
56%

Treg Taylor
31%

Click Bishop
26%

Bill Walker
21%

Adam Crum
9%

Edna DeVries
3%

Shelley Hughes
3%

Lesil McGuire
2%

Jessica Faircloth
2%

Bruce Walden
2%

Hank Kroll
1%

Matt Heilala
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

Matt Claman
1%

Nancy Dahlstrom
1%

Gregg Brelsford
<1%

James Parkin
<1%
$246,707 Vol.

Tom Begich
98%

Bernadette Wilson
94%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
79%

Dave Bronson
56%

Treg Taylor
31%

Click Bishop
26%

Bill Walker
21%

Adam Crum
9%

Edna DeVries
3%

Shelley Hughes
3%

Lesil McGuire
2%

Jessica Faircloth
2%

Bruce Walden
2%

Hank Kroll
1%

Matt Heilala
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

Matt Claman
1%

Nancy Dahlstrom
1%

Gregg Brelsford
<1%

James Parkin
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features a crowded field of 17 candidates for an open seat, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited. Democrat Tom Begich leads recent polling averages in the low 20s, ahead of Republicans Bernadette Wilson, Click Bishop, and Dave Bronson, while several other GOP contenders split the remaining vote. The top four vote-getters advance regardless of party affiliation to the ranked-choice general election on November 3. Early voting is underway, and no major late developments have shifted the field. Trader consensus reflects polling trends showing Begich favored to advance alongside multiple Republicans, with the outcome hinging on turnout and vote consolidation among the fragmented GOP slate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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