US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 76%
February 13 2.1%
February 7 1.9%
February 14 1.8%
$5,295,066 Vol.
$5,295,066 Vol.
February 1
$889,733 Vol.
<1%
February 1
$889,733 Vol.
<1%
February 2
$390,948 Vol.
<1%
February 2
$390,948 Vol.
<1%
February 3
$300,219 Vol.
<1%
February 3
$300,219 Vol.
<1%
February 4
$202,129 Vol.
1%
February 4
$202,129 Vol.
1%
February 5
$162,779 Vol.
1%
February 5
$162,779 Vol.
1%
February 6
$179,297 Vol.
1%
February 6
$179,297 Vol.
1%
February 7
$135,298 Vol.
2%
February 7
$135,298 Vol.
2%
February 8
$147,373 Vol.
1%
February 8
$147,373 Vol.
1%
February 9
$125,760 Vol.
1%
February 9
$125,760 Vol.
1%
February 10
$120,570 Vol.
1%
February 10
$120,570 Vol.
1%
February 11
$122,470 Vol.
1%
February 11
$122,470 Vol.
1%
February 12
$103,649 Vol.
1%
February 12
$103,649 Vol.
1%
February 13
$156,489 Vol.
2%
February 13
$156,489 Vol.
2%
February 14
$109,798 Vol.
2%
February 14
$109,798 Vol.
2%
February 15
$122,880 Vol.
1%
February 15
$122,880 Vol.
1%
February 16
$111,821 Vol.
1%
February 16
$111,821 Vol.
1%
February 17
$127,463 Vol.
1%
February 17
$127,463 Vol.
1%
February 18
$121,301 Vol.
1%
February 18
$121,301 Vol.
1%
February 19
$123,551 Vol.
1%
February 19
$123,551 Vol.
1%
February 20
$98,340 Vol.
1%
February 20
$98,340 Vol.
1%
February 21
$103,898 Vol.
1%
February 21
$103,898 Vol.
1%
February 22
$118,314 Vol.
1%
February 22
$118,314 Vol.
1%
February 23
$118,587 Vol.
1%
February 23
$118,587 Vol.
1%
February 24
$126,699 Vol.
1%
February 24
$126,699 Vol.
1%
February 25
$124,311 Vol.
1%
February 25
$124,311 Vol.
1%
February 26
$146,399 Vol.
1%
February 26
$146,399 Vol.
1%
February 27
$124,753 Vol.
2%
February 27
$124,753 Vol.
2%
February 28
$136,408 Vol.
2%
February 28
$136,408 Vol.
2%
No strike by February 28
$179,189 Vol.
76%
No strike by February 28
$179,189 Vol.
76%
Normas
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Creado en: Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 76%
February 13 2.1%
February 7 1.9%
February 14 1.8%
$5,295,066 Vol.
$5,295,066 Vol.
February 1
<1%
February 2
<1%
February 3
<1%
February 4
1%
February 5
1%
February 6
1%
February 7
2%
February 8
1%
February 9
1%
February 10
1%
February 11
1%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
2%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
1%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
2%
February 28
2%
No strike by February 28
76%
Acerca de
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.