US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 41%
February 1 8.1%
January 2026 7%
February 2 5.1%
$1,210,163 Vol.
$1,210,163 Vol.
January 2026
$62,197 Vol.
7%
January 2026
$62,197 Vol.
7%
February 1
$83,557 Vol.
8%
February 1
$83,557 Vol.
8%
February 2
$41,041 Vol.
5%
February 2
$41,041 Vol.
5%
February 3
$35,072 Vol.
2%
February 3
$35,072 Vol.
2%
February 4
$42,090 Vol.
3%
February 4
$42,090 Vol.
3%
February 5
$33,830 Vol.
2%
February 5
$33,830 Vol.
2%
February 6
$52,409 Vol.
3%
February 6
$52,409 Vol.
3%
February 7
$31,679 Vol.
5%
February 7
$31,679 Vol.
5%
February 8
$31,930 Vol.
3%
February 8
$31,930 Vol.
3%
February 9
$33,876 Vol.
2%
February 9
$33,876 Vol.
2%
February 10
$31,727 Vol.
2%
February 10
$31,727 Vol.
2%
February 11
$28,415 Vol.
2%
February 11
$28,415 Vol.
2%
February 12
$32,169 Vol.
1%
February 12
$32,169 Vol.
1%
February 13
$30,549 Vol.
2%
February 13
$30,549 Vol.
2%
February 14
$39,684 Vol.
2%
February 14
$39,684 Vol.
2%
February 15
$38,050 Vol.
1%
February 15
$38,050 Vol.
1%
February 16
$36,272 Vol.
1%
February 16
$36,272 Vol.
1%
February 17
$39,068 Vol.
1%
February 17
$39,068 Vol.
1%
February 18
$36,952 Vol.
1%
February 18
$36,952 Vol.
1%
February 19
$34,457 Vol.
1%
February 19
$34,457 Vol.
1%
February 20
$33,909 Vol.
1%
February 20
$33,909 Vol.
1%
February 21
$37,656 Vol.
2%
February 21
$37,656 Vol.
2%
February 22
$39,376 Vol.
1%
February 22
$39,376 Vol.
1%
February 23
$43,060 Vol.
1%
February 23
$43,060 Vol.
1%
February 24
$39,657 Vol.
1%
February 24
$39,657 Vol.
1%
February 25
$42,012 Vol.
1%
February 25
$42,012 Vol.
1%
February 26
$40,308 Vol.
1%
February 26
$40,308 Vol.
1%
February 27
$47,101 Vol.
2%
February 27
$47,101 Vol.
2%
February 28
$46,274 Vol.
2%
February 28
$46,274 Vol.
2%
No strike by February 28
$45,785 Vol.
41%
No strike by February 28
$45,785 Vol.
41%
Reglas
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Creado en: Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 41%
February 1 8.1%
January 2026 7%
February 2 5.1%
$1,210,163 Vol.
$1,210,163 Vol.
January 2026
7%
February 1
8%
February 2
5%
February 3
2%
February 4
3%
February 5
2%
February 6
3%
February 7
5%
February 8
3%
February 9
2%
February 10
2%
February 11
2%
February 12
1%
February 13
2%
February 14
2%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
1%
February 21
2%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
2%
February 28
2%
No strike by February 28
41%
Acerca de
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Ten cuidado con los enlaces externos.