Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (94% implied probability), propelled by reports from The Information and Bloomberg last week indicating an IPO prospectus filing as early as this week, targeting a record $75 billion raise at up to $1.75 trillion valuation. This reflects SpaceX's surging private valuations—recently $1.25 trillion in secondary sales—driven by Starlink's expanding satellite constellation surpassing 9,500 units and projected $24 billion earnings, alongside Starship's reusable rocket milestones enabling Mars ambitions and NASA contracts. April investor briefings and a potential mid-June debut loom as catalysts. Challenges include public market skepticism on otherworldly valuations, macroeconomic volatility, or delays in SEC review and launch cadence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoTítulo del ítem del grupo: 1T+ 94%
No IPO before 2028 3.5%
900B–1T <1%
600 mil millones–700 mil millones <1%
$2,923,949 Vol.
$2,923,949 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500B
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: 500B–600B
<1%
600 mil millones–700 mil millones
<1%
700B–800B
<1%
800 mil millones–900 mil millones
<1%
900B–1T
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: 1T+
94%
No IPO before 2028
4%
Título del ítem del grupo: 1T+ 94%
No IPO before 2028 3.5%
900B–1T <1%
600 mil millones–700 mil millones <1%
$2,923,949 Vol.
$2,923,949 Vol.
31 dic 2027
<500B
$327,258 Vol.
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: 500B–600B
$265,131 Vol.
<1%
600 mil millones–700 mil millones
$242,061 Vol.
<1%
700B–800B
$266,619 Vol.
<1%
800 mil millones–900 mil millones
$436,210 Vol.
<1%
900B–1T
$360,126 Vol.
1%
Título del ítem del grupo: 1T+
$518,265 Vol.
94%
No IPO before 2028
$508,279 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (94% implied probability), propelled by reports from The Information and Bloomberg last week indicating an IPO prospectus filing as early as this week, targeting a record $75 billion raise at up to $1.75 trillion valuation. This reflects SpaceX's surging private valuations—recently $1.25 trillion in secondary sales—driven by Starlink's expanding satellite constellation surpassing 9,500 units and projected $24 billion earnings, alongside Starship's reusable rocket milestones enabling Mars ambitions and NASA contracts. April investor briefings and a potential mid-June debut loom as catalysts. Challenges include public market skepticism on otherworldly valuations, macroeconomic volatility, or delays in SEC review and launch cadence.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
Volumen
$2,923,949Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (94% implied probability), propelled by reports from The Information and Bloomberg last week indicating an IPO prospectus filing as early as this week, targeting a record $75 billion raise at up to $1.75 trillion valuation. This reflects SpaceX's surging private valuations—recently $1.25 trillion in secondary sales—driven by Starlink's expanding satellite constellation surpassing 9,500 units and projected $24 billion earnings, alongside Starship's reusable rocket milestones enabling Mars ambitions and NASA contracts. April investor briefings and a potential mid-June debut loom as catalysts. Challenges include public market skepticism on otherworldly valuations, macroeconomic volatility, or delays in SEC review and launch cadence.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$2,923,949Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap exceeding $1 trillion (94% implied probability), propelled by reports from The Information and Bloomberg last week indicating an IPO prospectus filing as early as this week, targeting a record $75 billion raise at up to $1.75 trillion valuation. This reflects SpaceX's surging private valuations—recently $1.25 trillion in secondary sales—driven by Starlink's expanding satellite constellation surpassing 9,500 units and projected $24 billion earnings, alongside Starship's reusable rocket milestones enabling Mars ambitions and NASA contracts. April investor briefings and a potential mid-June debut loom as catalysts. Challenges include public market skepticism on otherworldly valuations, macroeconomic volatility, or delays in SEC review and launch cadence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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