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¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?

Market icon

¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?

$114,649 Vol.

30 jun 2026
Polymarket

$114,649 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de junio de 2026

$73,801 Vol.

5%

31 de diciembre de 2026

$40,848 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pedro Sánchez remains Spain's Prime Minister, heading a minority PSOE-led coalition dependent on regional separatist support like ERC and Junts, despite intensifying domestic pressures. Opposition parties PP and Vox have escalated calls for his resignation following a graft trial implicating allies and investigations into his wife and brother, compounded by Socialist defeats in recent regional elections in Aragón (February 2026) and Extremadura (December 2025). His firm opposition to U.S.-Israeli actions in the Iran war has elevated his international stature, with growing EU alignment. No snap election or no-confidence vote is imminent, but upcoming court rulings and potential legislative gridlock could trigger instability ahead of the next general election by August 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$114,649
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Pedro Sánchez remains Spain's Prime Minister, heading a minority PSOE-led coalition dependent on regional separatist support like ERC and Junts, despite intensifying domestic pressures. Opposition parties PP and Vox have escalated calls for his resignation following a graft trial implicating allies and investigations into his wife and brother, compounded by Socialist defeats in recent regional elections in Aragón (February 2026) and Extremadura (December 2025). His firm opposition to U.S.-Israeli actions in the Iran war has elevated his international stature, with growing EU alignment. No snap election or no-confidence vote is imminent, but upcoming court rulings and potential legislative gridlock could trigger instability ahead of the next general election by August 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$114,649
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 23%, seguido de "30 de junio de 2026" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 23¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?" ha generado $114.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Dec 3, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?" es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 23%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 23% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio de 2026" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Pedro Sánchez fuera como PM de España por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.