OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed April 1, 2026, at an $852 billion post-money valuation—the largest private raise ever—has driven Polymarket trader consensus to 78% implied probability for the IPO closing market cap exceeding $800 billion and 61% above $1 trillion, reflecting strong investor appetite for AI dominance. This surge follows 2025 annualized revenues topping $20 billion amid aggressive growth, though massive cash burn—projected at $14 billion losses in 2026—fuels caution, with odds dipping to 47% above $1.2 trillion. Preparations for a Q4 2026 listing, including SEC filing and bank engagements to preempt Anthropic, remain key catalysts, alongside macroeconomic risk sentiment and competitive revenue dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado$1,445,968 Vol.
$1,445,968 Vol.
31 dic 2027
$800 mil millones
73%
1 billón de dólares
63%
$1,2 billones
47%
1,4 billones de dólares
28%
$1.6 billones
17%
$1,445,968 Vol.
$1,445,968 Vol.
31 dic 2027
$800 mil millones
$79,360 Vol.
73%
1 billón de dólares
$1,037,269 Vol.
63%
$1,2 billones
$237,301 Vol.
47%
1,4 billones de dólares
$50,917 Vol.
28%
$1.6 billones
$41,120 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed April 1, 2026, at an $852 billion post-money valuation—the largest private raise ever—has driven Polymarket trader consensus to 78% implied probability for the IPO closing market cap exceeding $800 billion and 61% above $1 trillion, reflecting strong investor appetite for AI dominance. This surge follows 2025 annualized revenues topping $20 billion amid aggressive growth, though massive cash burn—projected at $14 billion losses in 2026—fuels caution, with odds dipping to 47% above $1.2 trillion. Preparations for a Q4 2026 listing, including SEC filing and bank engagements to preempt Anthropic, remain key catalysts, alongside macroeconomic risk sentiment and competitive revenue dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Mercado abierto: Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volumen
$1,445,968Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed April 1, 2026, at an $852 billion post-money valuation—the largest private raise ever—has driven Polymarket trader consensus to 78% implied probability for the IPO closing market cap exceeding $800 billion and 61% above $1 trillion, reflecting strong investor appetite for AI dominance. This surge follows 2025 annualized revenues topping $20 billion amid aggressive growth, though massive cash burn—projected at $14 billion losses in 2026—fuels caution, with odds dipping to 47% above $1.2 trillion. Preparations for a Q4 2026 listing, including SEC filing and bank engagements to preempt Anthropic, remain key catalysts, alongside macroeconomic risk sentiment and competitive revenue dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Volumen
$1,445,968Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027Mercado abierto
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's blockbuster $122 billion funding round, closed April 1, 2026, at an $852 billion post-money valuation—the largest private raise ever—has driven Polymarket trader consensus to 78% implied probability for the IPO closing market cap exceeding $800 billion and 61% above $1 trillion, reflecting strong investor appetite for AI dominance. This surge follows 2025 annualized revenues topping $20 billion amid aggressive growth, though massive cash burn—projected at $14 billion losses in 2026—fuels caution, with odds dipping to 47% above $1.2 trillion. Preparations for a Q4 2026 listing, including SEC filing and bank engagements to preempt Anthropic, remain key catalysts, alongside macroeconomic risk sentiment and competitive revenue dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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