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Política·HIELO

Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09

Market icon
Política·HIELO

Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09

Derek Merrin 56%

Madison Sheahan 16%

Josh Williams 11.4%

Alea Nadeem 6.2%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Derek Merrin 56%

Madison Sheahan 16%

Josh Williams 11.4%

Alea Nadeem 6.2%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Derek Merrin

$2,741 Vol.

61%

Madison Sheahan

$1,871 Vol.

16%

Josh Williams

$699 Vol.

18%

Alea Nadeem

$725 Vol.

6%

Wayne Kinsel

$351 Vol.

7%

Anthony Campbell

$428 Vol.

1%

Jacob Frost

$547 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Ohio state representative Derek Merrin holds a commanding 59.5% trader consensus as the likely Republican nominee for Ohio's 9th Congressional District primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition from the 2024 general election loss to incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur (47% vote share), superior fundraising with $357,000 cash-on-hand reported in February, and established campaign infrastructure in the redrawn, more Republican-leaning district. Current state Rep. Josh Williams follows at 16.6%, boosted by a March 29 Greater Toledo Area Right to Life forum straw poll surge from 109 to 155 supporter votes, while challenging Merrin and Madison Sheahan (15.5%) to debate amid recent candidate forums. Voter registration closes April 6, with no public polls yet shaping the contested field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,362
Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former Ohio state representative Derek Merrin holds a commanding 59.5% trader consensus as the likely Republican nominee for Ohio's 9th Congressional District primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition from the 2024 general election loss to incumbent Democrat Marcy Kaptur (47% vote share), superior fundraising with $357,000 cash-on-hand reported in February, and established campaign infrastructure in the redrawn, more Republican-leaning district. Current state Rep. Josh Williams follows at 16.6%, boosted by a March 29 Greater Toledo Area Right to Life forum straw poll surge from 109 to 155 supporter votes, while challenging Merrin and Madison Sheahan (15.5%) to debate amid recent candidate forums. Voter registration closes April 6, with no public polls yet shaping the contested field.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,362
Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Derek Merrin" con 61%, seguido de "Josh Williams" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 61¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 21, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" es "Derek Merrin" con 61%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Josh Williams" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.