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Política·HIELO

Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09

Market icon
Política·HIELO

Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09

Derek Merrin 58%

Jacob Frost 36.3%

Josh Williams 18.4%

Madison Sheahan 16%

Polymarket
NEW

Derek Merrin 58%

Jacob Frost 36.3%

Josh Williams 18.4%

Madison Sheahan 16%

Polymarket
NEW

Derek Merrin

$0 Vol.

58%

Jacob Frost

$0 Vol.

36%

Josh Williams

$0 Vol.

11%

Madison Sheahan

$1,631 Vol.

16%

Alea Nadeem

$0 Vol.

12%

Anthony Campbell

$0 Vol.

3%

Wayne Kinsel

$0 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin leads trader consensus at 61% implied probability for the OH-09 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition from a close 2024 general election loss to incumbent Marcy Kaptur and highest cash-on-hand at $357,000 from Q4 2025 filings. State Rep. Josh Williams trails with strong fundraising ($573,000 total raised) and Majority Whip experience, while former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan holds steady amid Trump administration ties but faces headwinds from a recent Washington Examiner report on wasteful agency spending and Lucas County GOP's new residency endorsement rule imposed after her January entry. No public primary polls exist; upcoming debates could shift the crowded field including Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem.

Derek Merrin leads trader consensus at 61% implied probability for the OH-09 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition from a close 2024 general election loss to incumbent Marcy Kaptur and highest cash-on-hand at $357,000 from Q4 2025 filings. State Rep. Josh Williams trails with strong fundraising ($573,000 total raised) and Majority Whip experience, while former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan holds steady amid Trump administration ties but faces headwinds from a recent Washington Examiner report on wasteful agency spending and Lucas County GOP's new residency endorsement rule imposed after her January entry. No public primary polls exist; upcoming debates could shift the crowded field including Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Derek Merrin leads trader consensus at 61% implied probability for the OH-09 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition from a close 2024 general election loss to incumbent Marcy Kaptur and highest cash-on-hand at $357,000 from Q4 2025 filings. State Rep. Josh Williams trails with strong fundraising ($573,000 total raised) and Majority Whip experience, while former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan holds steady amid Trump administration ties but faces headwinds from a recent Washington Examiner report on wasteful agency spending and Lucas County GOP's new residency endorsement rule imposed after her January entry. No public primary polls exist; upcoming debates could shift the crowded field including Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem.

Derek Merrin leads trader consensus at 61% implied probability for the OH-09 Republican primary on May 5, driven by his name recognition from a close 2024 general election loss to incumbent Marcy Kaptur and highest cash-on-hand at $357,000 from Q4 2025 filings. State Rep. Josh Williams trails with strong fundraising ($573,000 total raised) and Majority Whip experience, while former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan holds steady amid Trump administration ties but faces headwinds from a recent Washington Examiner report on wasteful agency spending and Lucas County GOP's new residency endorsement rule imposed after her January entry. No public primary polls exist; upcoming debates could shift the crowded field including Air Force Lt. Col. Alea Nadeem.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Derek Merrin" con 58%, seguido de "Jacob Frost" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 58¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 58% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jan 21, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" es "Derek Merrin" con 58%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 58% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jacob Frost" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las primarias republicanas OH-09" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.